**Latest numerical weather prediction model consensus from global ensembles positions Istanbul's daily maximum temperature on August 13 near the 27–28 °C threshold, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes.** Persistent high pressure over the eastern Mediterranean combined with moderate northerly Etesian winds and sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus are expected to limit daytime heating, while variable afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture introduce small uncertainty in peak values. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 28 °C with a standard deviation of roughly 2–3 °C, placing current guidance squarely within the typical range. Traders are closely monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance, which will refine whether subtle shifts in subsidence or wind direction push the maximum across the 28 °C mark.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
13 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
28°C 54%
27°C 38%
29°C 11%
26°C 9%
नया
नया
13 अग, 2026
23°C या उससे कम
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
12%
27°C
45%
28°C
49%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
28°C 54%
27°C 38%
29°C 11%
26°C 9%
नया
नया
13 अग, 2026
23°C या उससे कम
$19 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C
$12 वॉल्यूम
4%
26°C
$123 वॉल्यूम
12%
27°C
$273 वॉल्यूम
45%
28°C
$95 वॉल्यूम
49%
29°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
11%
30°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
3%
31°C
$15 वॉल्यूम
6%
32°C
$12 वॉल्यूम
2%
33°C या उससे अधिक
$7 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction model consensus from global ensembles positions Istanbul's daily maximum temperature on August 13 near the 27–28 °C threshold, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes.**
Persistent high pressure over the eastern Mediterranean combined with moderate northerly Etesian winds and sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus are expected to limit daytime heating, while variable afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture introduce small uncertainty in peak values. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 28 °C with a standard deviation of roughly 2–3 °C, placing current guidance squarely within the typical range. Traders are closely monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance, which will refine whether subtle shifts in subsidence or wind direction push the maximum across the 28 °C mark.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$576समाप्ति तिथि
13 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction model consensus from global ensembles positions Istanbul's daily maximum temperature on August 13 near the 27–28 °C threshold, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes.**
Persistent high pressure over the eastern Mediterranean combined with moderate northerly Etesian winds and sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus are expected to limit daytime heating, while variable afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture introduce small uncertainty in peak values. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 28 °C with a standard deviation of roughly 2–3 °C, placing current guidance squarely within the typical range. Traders are closely monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance, which will refine whether subtle shifts in subsidence or wind direction push the maximum across the 28 °C mark.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$576समाप्ति तिथि
13 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather prediction model consensus from global ensembles positions Istanbul's daily maximum temperature on August 13 near the 27–28 °C threshold, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes.** Persistent high pressure over the eastern Mediterranean combined with moderate northerly Etesian winds and sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus are expected to limit daytime heating, while variable afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture introduce small uncertainty in peak values. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 28 °C with a standard deviation of roughly 2–3 °C, placing current guidance squarely within the typical range. Traders are closely monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance, which will refine whether subtle shifts in subsidence or wind direction push the maximum across the 28 °C mark.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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