High pressure building across northwest Europe is driving the current market consensus toward a peak of 35–36°C in London on August 13, with Met Office guidance indicating a 35°C maximum under mostly clear skies and light winds. Recent model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show warm advection of continental air combined with strong daytime insolation, pushing temperatures above the seasonal average amid an already warmer-than-normal summer. Minor spread between 35°C and 37°C outcomes reflects small uncertainties in exact cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official recording sites. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model updates and any revisions to the 48-hour forecast for signals that could shift the implied probability distribution before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
13 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
36°C 36%
35°C 26%
37°C 14%
34°C 11%
नया
नया
13 अग, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
7%
34°C
11%
35°C
26%
36°C
36%
37°C
14%
38°C
2%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 36%
35°C 26%
37°C 14%
34°C 11%
नया
नया
13 अग, 2026
30°C or below
$848 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$712 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C
$124 वॉल्यूम
4%
33°C
$145 वॉल्यूम
7%
34°C
$48 वॉल्यूम
11%
35°C
$82 वॉल्यूम
26%
36°C
$492 वॉल्यूम
36%
37°C
$38 वॉल्यूम
14%
38°C
$552 वॉल्यूम
2%
39°C
$22 वॉल्यूम
2%
40°C or higher
$10 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure building across northwest Europe is driving the current market consensus toward a peak of 35–36°C in London on August 13, with Met Office guidance indicating a 35°C maximum under mostly clear skies and light winds. Recent model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show warm advection of continental air combined with strong daytime insolation, pushing temperatures above the seasonal average amid an already warmer-than-normal summer. Minor spread between 35°C and 37°C outcomes reflects small uncertainties in exact cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official recording sites. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model updates and any revisions to the 48-hour forecast for signals that could shift the implied probability distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,072समाप्ति तिथि
13 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure building across northwest Europe is driving the current market consensus toward a peak of 35–36°C in London on August 13, with Met Office guidance indicating a 35°C maximum under mostly clear skies and light winds. Recent model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show warm advection of continental air combined with strong daytime insolation, pushing temperatures above the seasonal average amid an already warmer-than-normal summer. Minor spread between 35°C and 37°C outcomes reflects small uncertainties in exact cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official recording sites. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model updates and any revisions to the 48-hour forecast for signals that could shift the implied probability distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,072समाप्ति तिथि
13 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High pressure building across northwest Europe is driving the current market consensus toward a peak of 35–36°C in London on August 13, with Met Office guidance indicating a 35°C maximum under mostly clear skies and light winds. Recent model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show warm advection of continental air combined with strong daytime insolation, pushing temperatures above the seasonal average amid an already warmer-than-normal summer. Minor spread between 35°C and 37°C outcomes reflects small uncertainties in exact cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official recording sites. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model updates and any revisions to the 48-hour forecast for signals that could shift the implied probability distribution before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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