**Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity is the dominant driver** keeping the highest temperature in Manila on August 13 tightly contested between 30°C and 31°C. PAGASA’s official outlook projects a daily maximum range of 25–30°C or 25–33°C for Metro Manila on Thursday, with a 30–100% chance of rain and thunderstorms driven by the monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers reduce incoming solar radiation and limit afternoon heating, typically capping temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms of ~31°C. **Model consensus and recent observations support this narrow band.** Timeanddate and AccuWeather guidance indicate daytime highs around 30–31°C (86–88°F) under overcast skies with thundershowers, while historical August averages sit near 31°C. The market’s near-even split between 30°C (35.5%) and 31°C (43.5%) reflects uncertainty in exactly how much the monsoon will suppress the peak—lighter rain windows could allow brief clearing and a 31°C reading, whereas steadier showers would favor 30°C or lower. Higher outcomes above 32°C remain low-probability because enhanced cloudiness and precipitation have already been observed in the preceding days. Traders are therefore weighting the latest PAGASA updates and short-range model runs most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
13 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 44%
30°C 36%
29°C 10%
32°C 9%
नया
नया
13 अग, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
36%
31°C
44%
32°C
9%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 36%
29°C 10%
32°C 9%
नया
नया
13 अग, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
$216 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$282 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$243 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$376 वॉल्यूम
3%
29°C
$1,179 वॉल्यूम
10%
30°C
$728 वॉल्यूम
36%
31°C
$1,059 वॉल्यूम
44%
32°C
$754 वॉल्यूम
9%
33°C
$987 वॉल्यूम
2%
34°C
$315 वॉल्यूम
1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
$318 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity is the dominant driver** keeping the highest temperature in Manila on August 13 tightly contested between 30°C and 31°C. PAGASA’s official outlook projects a daily maximum range of 25–30°C or 25–33°C for Metro Manila on Thursday, with a 30–100% chance of rain and thunderstorms driven by the monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers reduce incoming solar radiation and limit afternoon heating, typically capping temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms of ~31°C.
**Model consensus and recent observations support this narrow band.** Timeanddate and AccuWeather guidance indicate daytime highs around 30–31°C (86–88°F) under overcast skies with thundershowers, while historical August averages sit near 31°C. The market’s near-even split between 30°C (35.5%) and 31°C (43.5%) reflects uncertainty in exactly how much the monsoon will suppress the peak—lighter rain windows could allow brief clearing and a 31°C reading, whereas steadier showers would favor 30°C or lower. Higher outcomes above 32°C remain low-probability because enhanced cloudiness and precipitation have already been observed in the preceding days. Traders are therefore weighting the latest PAGASA updates and short-range model runs most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,455समाप्ति तिथि
13 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity is the dominant driver** keeping the highest temperature in Manila on August 13 tightly contested between 30°C and 31°C. PAGASA’s official outlook projects a daily maximum range of 25–30°C or 25–33°C for Metro Manila on Thursday, with a 30–100% chance of rain and thunderstorms driven by the monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers reduce incoming solar radiation and limit afternoon heating, typically capping temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms of ~31°C.
**Model consensus and recent observations support this narrow band.** Timeanddate and AccuWeather guidance indicate daytime highs around 30–31°C (86–88°F) under overcast skies with thundershowers, while historical August averages sit near 31°C. The market’s near-even split between 30°C (35.5%) and 31°C (43.5%) reflects uncertainty in exactly how much the monsoon will suppress the peak—lighter rain windows could allow brief clearing and a 31°C reading, whereas steadier showers would favor 30°C or lower. Higher outcomes above 32°C remain low-probability because enhanced cloudiness and precipitation have already been observed in the preceding days. Traders are therefore weighting the latest PAGASA updates and short-range model runs most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$6,455समाप्ति तिथि
13 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity is the dominant driver** keeping the highest temperature in Manila on August 13 tightly contested between 30°C and 31°C. PAGASA’s official outlook projects a daily maximum range of 25–30°C or 25–33°C for Metro Manila on Thursday, with a 30–100% chance of rain and thunderstorms driven by the monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover and frequent showers reduce incoming solar radiation and limit afternoon heating, typically capping temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms of ~31°C. **Model consensus and recent observations support this narrow band.** Timeanddate and AccuWeather guidance indicate daytime highs around 30–31°C (86–88°F) under overcast skies with thundershowers, while historical August averages sit near 31°C. The market’s near-even split between 30°C (35.5%) and 31°C (43.5%) reflects uncertainty in exactly how much the monsoon will suppress the peak—lighter rain windows could allow brief clearing and a 31°C reading, whereas steadier showers would favor 30°C or lower. Higher outcomes above 32°C remain low-probability because enhanced cloudiness and precipitation have already been observed in the preceding days. Traders are therefore weighting the latest PAGASA updates and short-range model runs most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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