Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show maximum temperatures in London on August 14 clustering tightly around 32–34°C under persistent high pressure, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C. Above-average North Atlantic sea surface temperatures and residual soil moisture from earlier 2026 heatwaves are limiting overnight cooling and supporting stronger daytime sensible heat flux, while subtle differences in modeled boundary-layer mixing and timing of any high cloud keep the exact peak uncertain. The summer jet stream pattern favoring southerly flow further favors these values over cooler or extreme outliers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
14 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 34%
32°C 30%
34°C 13%
31°C 11%
नया
नया
14 अग, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
30%
33°C
34%
34°C
13%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 34%
32°C 30%
34°C 13%
31°C 11%
नया
नया
14 अग, 2026
29°C or below
$373 वॉल्यूम
2%
30°C
$458 वॉल्यूम
4%
31°C
$936 वॉल्यूम
11%
32°C
$1,446 वॉल्यूम
30%
33°C
$804 वॉल्यूम
34%
34°C
$985 वॉल्यूम
13%
35°C
$1,269 वॉल्यूम
5%
36°C
$215 वॉल्यूम
1%
37°C
$69 वॉल्यूम
<1%
38°C
$224 वॉल्यूम
<1%
39°C or higher
$452 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show maximum temperatures in London on August 14 clustering tightly around 32–34°C under persistent high pressure, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C. Above-average North Atlantic sea surface temperatures and residual soil moisture from earlier 2026 heatwaves are limiting overnight cooling and supporting stronger daytime sensible heat flux, while subtle differences in modeled boundary-layer mixing and timing of any high cloud keep the exact peak uncertain. The summer jet stream pattern favoring southerly flow further favors these values over cooler or extreme outliers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,232समाप्ति तिथि
14 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show maximum temperatures in London on August 14 clustering tightly around 32–34°C under persistent high pressure, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C. Above-average North Atlantic sea surface temperatures and residual soil moisture from earlier 2026 heatwaves are limiting overnight cooling and supporting stronger daytime sensible heat flux, while subtle differences in modeled boundary-layer mixing and timing of any high cloud keep the exact peak uncertain. The summer jet stream pattern favoring southerly flow further favors these values over cooler or extreme outliers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$7,232समाप्ति तिथि
14 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show maximum temperatures in London on August 14 clustering tightly around 32–34°C under persistent high pressure, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C. Above-average North Atlantic sea surface temperatures and residual soil moisture from earlier 2026 heatwaves are limiting overnight cooling and supporting stronger daytime sensible heat flux, while subtle differences in modeled boundary-layer mixing and timing of any high cloud keep the exact peak uncertain. The summer jet stream pattern favoring southerly flow further favors these values over cooler or extreme outliers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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