Recent AEMET forecasts for Madrid indicate a daily maximum of 38–39°C on August 12, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong solar insolation typical of mid-August in the central Iberian Peninsula. Numerical weather models show limited cloud cover and minimal moisture, favoring efficient daytime heating over the urban heat island and surrounding plateau terrain. The market-implied odds, with 39°C at 50.5% and 38°C at 33.5%, reflect trader consensus on forecast consensus and small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread. Updated runs and official guidance through the resolution window will likely anchor probabilities near these levels absent unexpected synoptic shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
12 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
39°C 51%
38°C 34%
40°C 15%
37°C 5%
नया
$29,541 वॉल्यूम
नया
$29,541 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
5%
38°C
34%
39°C
51%
40°C
15%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
39°C 51%
38°C 34%
40°C 15%
37°C 5%
नया
$29,541 वॉल्यूम
नया
$29,541 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
33°C or below
$11,671 वॉल्यूम
<1%
34°C
$417 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35°C
$640 वॉल्यूम
<1%
36°C
$752 वॉल्यूम
<1%
37°C
$1,969 वॉल्यूम
5%
38°C
$5,431 वॉल्यूम
34%
39°C
$2,492 वॉल्यूम
51%
40°C
$3,068 वॉल्यूम
15%
41°C
$1,203 वॉल्यूम
1%
42°C
$829 वॉल्यूम
<1%
43°C or higher
$1,069 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent AEMET forecasts for Madrid indicate a daily maximum of 38–39°C on August 12, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong solar insolation typical of mid-August in the central Iberian Peninsula. Numerical weather models show limited cloud cover and minimal moisture, favoring efficient daytime heating over the urban heat island and surrounding plateau terrain. The market-implied odds, with 39°C at 50.5% and 38°C at 33.5%, reflect trader consensus on forecast consensus and small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread. Updated runs and official guidance through the resolution window will likely anchor probabilities near these levels absent unexpected synoptic shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,541समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent AEMET forecasts for Madrid indicate a daily maximum of 38–39°C on August 12, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong solar insolation typical of mid-August in the central Iberian Peninsula. Numerical weather models show limited cloud cover and minimal moisture, favoring efficient daytime heating over the urban heat island and surrounding plateau terrain. The market-implied odds, with 39°C at 50.5% and 38°C at 33.5%, reflect trader consensus on forecast consensus and small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread. Updated runs and official guidance through the resolution window will likely anchor probabilities near these levels absent unexpected synoptic shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$29,541समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent AEMET forecasts for Madrid indicate a daily maximum of 38–39°C on August 12, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong solar insolation typical of mid-August in the central Iberian Peninsula. Numerical weather models show limited cloud cover and minimal moisture, favoring efficient daytime heating over the urban heat island and surrounding plateau terrain. The market-implied odds, with 39°C at 50.5% and 38°C at 33.5%, reflect trader consensus on forecast consensus and small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread. Updated runs and official guidance through the resolution window will likely anchor probabilities near these levels absent unexpected synoptic shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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