Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 12 shows a mostly sunny to partly cloudy setup with highs near 85–88 °F at Central Park and LaGuardia stations, positioning the 86–87 °F bin as the market favorite at 52.5 % implied probability. Afternoon convective development and modest humidity are expected to cap extreme peaks, keeping 88–89 °F at 28.5 % while limiting upside risk to the 1.8 % chance of 90–91 °F. Warmer-than-average August conditions and the absence of strong high pressure have kept temperatures above the 83 °F seasonal norm, yet model consensus favors moderation from scattered storms rather than full insolation. Updated midday observations and any revised NHC or local forecast discussions could shift bins before official daily maximums are recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
12 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
86-87°F 53%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 18%
90-91°F 1.9%
नया
$24,844 वॉल्यूम
नया
$24,844 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
53%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 53%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 18%
90-91°F 1.9%
नया
$24,844 वॉल्यूम
नया
$24,844 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
79°F or below
$1,257 वॉल्यूम
<1%
80-81°F
$1,163 वॉल्यूम
<1%
82-83°F
$3,433 वॉल्यूम
1%
84-85°F
$3,292 वॉल्यूम
18%
86-87°F
$5,246 वॉल्यूम
53%
88-89°F
$3,463 वॉल्यूम
29%
90-91°F
$2,772 वॉल्यूम
2%
92-93°F
$2,610 वॉल्यूम
1%
94-95°F
$760 वॉल्यूम
<1%
96-97°F
$543 वॉल्यूम
<1%
98°F or higher
$381 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 12 shows a mostly sunny to partly cloudy setup with highs near 85–88 °F at Central Park and LaGuardia stations, positioning the 86–87 °F bin as the market favorite at 52.5 % implied probability. Afternoon convective development and modest humidity are expected to cap extreme peaks, keeping 88–89 °F at 28.5 % while limiting upside risk to the 1.8 % chance of 90–91 °F. Warmer-than-average August conditions and the absence of strong high pressure have kept temperatures above the 83 °F seasonal norm, yet model consensus favors moderation from scattered storms rather than full insolation. Updated midday observations and any revised NHC or local forecast discussions could shift bins before official daily maximums are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,844समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 12 shows a mostly sunny to partly cloudy setup with highs near 85–88 °F at Central Park and LaGuardia stations, positioning the 86–87 °F bin as the market favorite at 52.5 % implied probability. Afternoon convective development and modest humidity are expected to cap extreme peaks, keeping 88–89 °F at 28.5 % while limiting upside risk to the 1.8 % chance of 90–91 °F. Warmer-than-average August conditions and the absence of strong high pressure have kept temperatures above the 83 °F seasonal norm, yet model consensus favors moderation from scattered storms rather than full insolation. Updated midday observations and any revised NHC or local forecast discussions could shift bins before official daily maximums are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$24,844समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 12 shows a mostly sunny to partly cloudy setup with highs near 85–88 °F at Central Park and LaGuardia stations, positioning the 86–87 °F bin as the market favorite at 52.5 % implied probability. Afternoon convective development and modest humidity are expected to cap extreme peaks, keeping 88–89 °F at 28.5 % while limiting upside risk to the 1.8 % chance of 90–91 °F. Warmer-than-average August conditions and the absence of strong high pressure have kept temperatures above the 83 °F seasonal norm, yet model consensus favors moderation from scattered storms rather than full insolation. Updated midday observations and any revised NHC or local forecast discussions could shift bins before official daily maximums are recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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