Current ensemble forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 5 point to a daily maximum near 16–17°C, reflecting the typical late-winter climatology of mild maritime air under variable cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Regional models show close agreement on overall temperatures but diverge slightly on exact peak values depending on the timing of any weak frontal boundary or changes in low-level moisture and wind direction. This narrow spread produces tightly clustered market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to 16°C because it aligns with the central tendency of recent runs while accounting for the 1–2°C uncertainty range inherent in short-range temperature prediction during transitional winter conditions. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को ब्यूनस आयर्स में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
16°C 31%
17°C 27%
15°C 20%
18°C 17%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
10%
15°C
20%
16°C
31%
17°C
27%
18°C
17%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
2%
16°C 31%
17°C 27%
15°C 20%
18°C 17%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
10%
15°C
20%
16°C
31%
17°C
27%
18°C
17%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 5 point to a daily maximum near 16–17°C, reflecting the typical late-winter climatology of mild maritime air under variable cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Regional models show close agreement on overall temperatures but diverge slightly on exact peak values depending on the timing of any weak frontal boundary or changes in low-level moisture and wind direction. This narrow spread produces tightly clustered market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to 16°C because it aligns with the central tendency of recent runs while accounting for the 1–2°C uncertainty range inherent in short-range temperature prediction during transitional winter conditions. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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