Recent INMET and global model guidance, including ECMWF and GFS runs, form the main driver behind the market’s concentration on 27–28 °C, with ensemble means indicating a maximum near 27.5 °C under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover. August climatology for São Paulo shows average highs of 23–25 °C, so current projections reflect a modest warm anomaly without extreme heat advection or strong insolation. Light easterly flow and low humidity minima around 20 % support efficient daytime warming but limit further intensification, keeping 29 °C and higher at low implied odds. Updated model outputs and the official INMET observation released tomorrow evening will determine final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को साओ पाउलो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
5 अगस्त को साओ पाउलो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
28°C 41%
27°C 28%
29°C 19%
26°C 9%
नया
नया
5 अग, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
28%
28°C
41%
29°C
19%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 41%
27°C 28%
29°C 19%
26°C 9%
नया
नया
5 अग, 2026
22°C or below
$32 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$108 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$34 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C
$41 वॉल्यूम
2%
26°C
$100 वॉल्यूम
9%
27°C
$98 वॉल्यूम
28%
28°C
$235 वॉल्यूम
41%
29°C
$33 वॉल्यूम
19%
30°C
$22 वॉल्यूम
5%
31°C
$29 वॉल्यूम
3%
32°C or higher
$29 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent INMET and global model guidance, including ECMWF and GFS runs, form the main driver behind the market’s concentration on 27–28 °C, with ensemble means indicating a maximum near 27.5 °C under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover. August climatology for São Paulo shows average highs of 23–25 °C, so current projections reflect a modest warm anomaly without extreme heat advection or strong insolation. Light easterly flow and low humidity minima around 20 % support efficient daytime warming but limit further intensification, keeping 29 °C and higher at low implied odds. Updated model outputs and the official INMET observation released tomorrow evening will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$760समाप्ति तिथि
5 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent INMET and global model guidance, including ECMWF and GFS runs, form the main driver behind the market’s concentration on 27–28 °C, with ensemble means indicating a maximum near 27.5 °C under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover. August climatology for São Paulo shows average highs of 23–25 °C, so current projections reflect a modest warm anomaly without extreme heat advection or strong insolation. Light easterly flow and low humidity minima around 20 % support efficient daytime warming but limit further intensification, keeping 29 °C and higher at low implied odds. Updated model outputs and the official INMET observation released tomorrow evening will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$760समाप्ति तिथि
5 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent INMET and global model guidance, including ECMWF and GFS runs, form the main driver behind the market’s concentration on 27–28 °C, with ensemble means indicating a maximum near 27.5 °C under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover. August climatology for São Paulo shows average highs of 23–25 °C, so current projections reflect a modest warm anomaly without extreme heat advection or strong insolation. Light easterly flow and low humidity minima around 20 % support efficient daytime warming but limit further intensification, keeping 29 °C and higher at low implied odds. Updated model outputs and the official INMET observation released tomorrow evening will determine final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न