Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas are sustaining hot, humid conditions for Austin on August 14, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance converging on a daily maximum near 99–101°F. This aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where the seasonal average high reaches 99°F, supporting the market’s dominant implied probabilities on 98–99°F (45.5%) and 96–97°F (35.5%). Minor variations in model depictions of cloud cover, weak disturbances, or boundary-layer mixing introduce the smaller chance assigned to 100–101°F (11.5%). Overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide the primary updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 अगस्त को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
14 अगस्त को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 36%
100-101°F 12%
94-95°F 6%
नया
नया
14 अग, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
36%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
12%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 36%
100-101°F 12%
94-95°F 6%
नया
नया
14 अग, 2026
87°F or below
$190 वॉल्यूम
<1%
88-89°F
$125 वॉल्यूम
<1%
90-91°F
$113 वॉल्यूम
1%
92-93°F
$300 वॉल्यूम
3%
94-95°F
$161 वॉल्यूम
6%
96-97°F
$118 वॉल्यूम
36%
98-99°F
$741 वॉल्यूम
45%
100-101°F
$101 वॉल्यूम
12%
102-103°F
$39 वॉल्यूम
3%
104-105°F
$195 वॉल्यूम
2%
106°F या उससे अधिक
$496 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas are sustaining hot, humid conditions for Austin on August 14, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance converging on a daily maximum near 99–101°F. This aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where the seasonal average high reaches 99°F, supporting the market’s dominant implied probabilities on 98–99°F (45.5%) and 96–97°F (35.5%). Minor variations in model depictions of cloud cover, weak disturbances, or boundary-layer mixing introduce the smaller chance assigned to 100–101°F (11.5%). Overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide the primary updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,579समाप्ति तिथि
14 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas are sustaining hot, humid conditions for Austin on August 14, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance converging on a daily maximum near 99–101°F. This aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where the seasonal average high reaches 99°F, supporting the market’s dominant implied probabilities on 98–99°F (45.5%) and 96–97°F (35.5%). Minor variations in model depictions of cloud cover, weak disturbances, or boundary-layer mixing introduce the smaller chance assigned to 100–101°F (11.5%). Overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide the primary updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,579समाप्ति तिथि
14 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas are sustaining hot, humid conditions for Austin on August 14, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance converging on a daily maximum near 99–101°F. This aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where the seasonal average high reaches 99°F, supporting the market’s dominant implied probabilities on 98–99°F (45.5%) and 96–97°F (35.5%). Minor variations in model depictions of cloud cover, weak disturbances, or boundary-layer mixing introduce the smaller chance assigned to 100–101°F (11.5%). Overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide the primary updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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