The Žilina mayoral race heads into Slovakia’s October 24 municipal elections as a fragmented contest among the incumbent Peter Fiabáne and several challengers including Peter Cibulka, Rastislav Johanes, and Miroslav Sokol. Fiabáne’s June announcement of a third and final independent bid, backed by center-right parties such as Progresívne Slovensko, KDH, SaS, and Demokrati, has not produced a decisive lead in available indicators. The absence of recent local polling, combined with multiple credible entrants focused on distinct priorities like housing, transport, and fiscal management, sustains tight implied probabilities. Late endorsements, candidate withdrawals, or turnout shifts among undecided voters could still widen gaps before ballots close.