The crowded field of six confirmed candidates following the August 25 filing deadline for the October 24 Bratislava mayoral election has fragmented support and kept implied probabilities closely matched across leading contenders. Incumbent Matúš Vallo, backed by the Team Bratislava-PS-SaS-Demokrati coalition and seeking a third term, holds the strongest base from earlier polling but faces vote-splitting pressure from challengers including Martin Winkler of the Dunaj party and Jozef Ráž. Recent withdrawals such as Dana Čahojová's and independent or smaller-party entries further underscore the lack of consolidation, with trader consensus reflecting high uncertainty ahead of full registration confirmation and any late campaign shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMiroslav Heredoš 23%
Jozef Ráž 16%
Martin Winkler 13%
Dana Čahojová 13%

Miroslav Heredoš
23%

Jozef Ráž
16%

Martin Winkler
13%

Dana Čahojová
13%

Zuzana Šubová
7%

Ľubomír Geci
5%

Matúš Vallo
41%
Miroslav Heredoš 23%
Jozef Ráž 16%
Martin Winkler 13%
Dana Čahojová 13%

Miroslav Heredoš
23%

Jozef Ráž
16%

Martin Winkler
13%

Dana Čahojová
13%

Zuzana Šubová
7%

Ľubomír Geci
5%

Matúš Vallo
41%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://volby.statistics.sk/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Source de résolution
https://volby.statistics.sk/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of six confirmed candidates following the August 25 filing deadline for the October 24 Bratislava mayoral election has fragmented support and kept implied probabilities closely matched across leading contenders. Incumbent Matúš Vallo, backed by the Team Bratislava-PS-SaS-Demokrati coalition and seeking a third term, holds the strongest base from earlier polling but faces vote-splitting pressure from challengers including Martin Winkler of the Dunaj party and Jozef Ráž. Recent withdrawals such as Dana Čahojová's and independent or smaller-party entries further underscore the lack of consolidation, with trader consensus reflecting high uncertainty ahead of full registration confirmation and any late campaign shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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