Strong corporate earnings momentum, with 2026 S&P 500 EPS consensus now near $362 and projected 23% year-over-year growth fueled by AI-driven revenue gains, underpins trader positioning ahead of the week of August 24. The index closed August 21 at 7,674 amid a year-to-date advance exceeding 12%, with recent analyst target revisions lifting year-end 2026 forecasts into the 7,650–8,000 range. Attention centers on the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium (August 27–29), where Federal Reserve communications on monetary policy, inflation trajectory, and labor conditions could influence rate expectations and Treasury yields. Moderate U.S. data releases, including consumer confidence and housing metrics, offer additional inputs but are secondary to earnings and policy signals. Market-implied odds reflect this earnings-supported stability tempered by event-driven volatility around central bank messaging.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQu'est-ce que le S&P 500 (ESPION) frappera la semaine du 24 août 2026 ?
Qu'est-ce que le S&P 500 (ESPION) frappera la semaine du 24 août 2026 ?
NOUVEAU
28 août 2026
↑ $800
7%
↑ $795
8%
↑ $790
8%
↑ $785
13%
↑ $780
24%
↑ $775
44%
↑ 770 $
65%
↓ 765 $
72%
↓ 760 $
56%
↓ 755 $
42%
↓ 750 $
29%
↓ 745 $
20%
↓ 740 $
14%
↓ 735 $
8%
$62 Vol.
↑ $800
$1 Vol.
7%
↑ $795
$0 Vol.
8%
↑ $790
$0 Vol.
8%
↑ $785
$0 Vol.
13%
↑ $780
$0 Vol.
24%
↑ $775
$0 Vol.
44%
↑ 770 $
$0 Vol.
65%
↓ 765 $
$0 Vol.
72%
↓ 760 $
$0 Vol.
56%
↓ 755 $
$0 Vol.
42%
↓ 750 $
$0 Vol.
29%
↓ 745 $
$0 Vol.
20%
↓ 740 $
$0 Vol.
14%
↓ 735 $
$61 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 24 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Strong corporate earnings momentum, with 2026 S&P 500 EPS consensus now near $362 and projected 23% year-over-year growth fueled by AI-driven revenue gains, underpins trader positioning ahead of the week of August 24. The index closed August 21 at 7,674 amid a year-to-date advance exceeding 12%, with recent analyst target revisions lifting year-end 2026 forecasts into the 7,650–8,000 range. Attention centers on the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium (August 27–29), where Federal Reserve communications on monetary policy, inflation trajectory, and labor conditions could influence rate expectations and Treasury yields. Moderate U.S. data releases, including consumer confidence and housing metrics, offer additional inputs but are secondary to earnings and policy signals. Market-implied odds reflect this earnings-supported stability tempered by event-driven volatility around central bank messaging.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 24 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$62Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 24 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Strong corporate earnings momentum, with 2026 S&P 500 EPS consensus now near $362 and projected 23% year-over-year growth fueled by AI-driven revenue gains, underpins trader positioning ahead of the week of August 24. The index closed August 21 at 7,674 amid a year-to-date advance exceeding 12%, with recent analyst target revisions lifting year-end 2026 forecasts into the 7,650–8,000 range. Attention centers on the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium (August 27–29), where Federal Reserve communications on monetary policy, inflation trajectory, and labor conditions could influence rate expectations and Treasury yields. Moderate U.S. data releases, including consumer confidence and housing metrics, offer additional inputs but are secondary to earnings and policy signals. Market-implied odds reflect this earnings-supported stability tempered by event-driven volatility around central bank messaging.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 24 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$62Date de fin
28 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong corporate earnings momentum, with 2026 S&P 500 EPS consensus now near $362 and projected 23% year-over-year growth fueled by AI-driven revenue gains, underpins trader positioning ahead of the week of August 24. The index closed August 21 at 7,674 amid a year-to-date advance exceeding 12%, with recent analyst target revisions lifting year-end 2026 forecasts into the 7,650–8,000 range. Attention centers on the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium (August 27–29), where Federal Reserve communications on monetary policy, inflation trajectory, and labor conditions could influence rate expectations and Treasury yields. Moderate U.S. data releases, including consumer confidence and housing metrics, offer additional inputs but are secondary to earnings and policy signals. Market-implied odds reflect this earnings-supported stability tempered by event-driven volatility around central bank messaging.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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