OpenAI's recent $40 billion annualized revenue run rate and March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion anchor trader sentiment on Polymarket, where the leading $1.25T–$1.5T IPO range holds 22.8% implied probability amid closely matched brackets. Explosive growth from enterprise API and ChatGPT subscriptions drives expectations of a substantial public-market premium, though persistent unprofitability and cash burn temper multiples. Confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and potential delay to 2027 introduce timeline uncertainty, while competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic and regulatory scrutiny add volatility to valuation outcomes. Market-implied odds aggregate capital-backed views on these fundamentals rather than certainties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1.25T–$1.5T 22.7%
$1.0T–$1.25T 20%
$1.75T–$2.0T 18%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.3%
$62,228 Vol.
$62,228 Vol.
1 juil. 2027
<$1T
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
20%
$1.25T–$1.5T
23%
$1.5T–$1.75T
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
18%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
9%
$2.5T+
5%
$1.25T–$1.5T 22.7%
$1.0T–$1.25T 20%
$1.75T–$2.0T 18%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.3%
$62,228 Vol.
$62,228 Vol.
1 juil. 2027
<$1T
$4,392 Vol.
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$7,129 Vol.
20%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$4,857 Vol.
23%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$3,395 Vol.
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$9,790 Vol.
18%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$1,998 Vol.
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$1,955 Vol.
9%
$2.5T+
$28,712 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's recent $40 billion annualized revenue run rate and March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion anchor trader sentiment on Polymarket, where the leading $1.25T–$1.5T IPO range holds 22.8% implied probability amid closely matched brackets. Explosive growth from enterprise API and ChatGPT subscriptions drives expectations of a substantial public-market premium, though persistent unprofitability and cash burn temper multiples. Confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and potential delay to 2027 introduce timeline uncertainty, while competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic and regulatory scrutiny add volatility to valuation outcomes. Market-implied odds aggregate capital-backed views on these fundamentals rather than certainties.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$62,228Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's recent $40 billion annualized revenue run rate and March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion anchor trader sentiment on Polymarket, where the leading $1.25T–$1.5T IPO range holds 22.8% implied probability amid closely matched brackets. Explosive growth from enterprise API and ChatGPT subscriptions drives expectations of a substantial public-market premium, though persistent unprofitability and cash burn temper multiples. Confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and potential delay to 2027 introduce timeline uncertainty, while competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic and regulatory scrutiny add volatility to valuation outcomes. Market-implied odds aggregate capital-backed views on these fundamentals rather than certainties.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,228Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's recent $40 billion annualized revenue run rate and March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion anchor trader sentiment on Polymarket, where the leading $1.25T–$1.5T IPO range holds 22.8% implied probability amid closely matched brackets. Explosive growth from enterprise API and ChatGPT subscriptions drives expectations of a substantial public-market premium, though persistent unprofitability and cash burn temper multiples. Confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and potential delay to 2027 introduce timeline uncertainty, while competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic and regulatory scrutiny add volatility to valuation outcomes. Market-implied odds aggregate capital-backed views on these fundamentals rather than certainties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?
41%
La capitalisation boursière d’OpenAI sera-t-elle de 1,5 T$ ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de l’introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?
40%
Oui
L'introduction en bourse d'OpenAI se clôturera-t-elle avec une capitalisation boursière supérieure à 800 milliards de dollars ?
86%
Oui
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