OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, alongside monthly revenue reaching a $40 billion annualized run rate by mid-August, anchors trader sentiment around a $1 trillion-plus IPO. Confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and banker involvement initially pointed to a potential late-2026 debut, yet June deliberations shifted focus toward 2027 to pursue higher pricing near or above $1 trillion amid ongoing unprofitability. Market-implied odds remain tightly clustered between $1.0T–$1.5T brackets because execution timing, competitive IPOs such as Anthropic’s, regulatory scrutiny, and public-market multiples on high-growth AI platforms introduce material uncertainty. Recent revenue acceleration supports upside scenarios, while the absence of confirmed profitability milestones or final IPO terms sustains dispersion across the $1T–$2T range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1.25T–$1.5T 22.7%
$1.0T–$1.25T 20%
$1.75T–$2.0T 18%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.4%
$62,228 Vol.
$62,228 Vol.
1 juil. 2027
<$1T
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
20%
$1.25T–$1.5T
23%
$1.5T–$1.75T
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
18%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
9%
$2.5T+
5%
$1.25T–$1.5T 22.7%
$1.0T–$1.25T 20%
$1.75T–$2.0T 18%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.4%
$62,228 Vol.
$62,228 Vol.
1 juil. 2027
<$1T
$4,392 Vol.
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$7,129 Vol.
20%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$4,857 Vol.
23%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$3,395 Vol.
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$9,790 Vol.
18%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$1,998 Vol.
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$1,955 Vol.
9%
$2.5T+
$28,712 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, alongside monthly revenue reaching a $40 billion annualized run rate by mid-August, anchors trader sentiment around a $1 trillion-plus IPO. Confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and banker involvement initially pointed to a potential late-2026 debut, yet June deliberations shifted focus toward 2027 to pursue higher pricing near or above $1 trillion amid ongoing unprofitability. Market-implied odds remain tightly clustered between $1.0T–$1.5T brackets because execution timing, competitive IPOs such as Anthropic’s, regulatory scrutiny, and public-market multiples on high-growth AI platforms introduce material uncertainty. Recent revenue acceleration supports upside scenarios, while the absence of confirmed profitability milestones or final IPO terms sustains dispersion across the $1T–$2T range.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$62,228Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, alongside monthly revenue reaching a $40 billion annualized run rate by mid-August, anchors trader sentiment around a $1 trillion-plus IPO. Confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and banker involvement initially pointed to a potential late-2026 debut, yet June deliberations shifted focus toward 2027 to pursue higher pricing near or above $1 trillion amid ongoing unprofitability. Market-implied odds remain tightly clustered between $1.0T–$1.5T brackets because execution timing, competitive IPOs such as Anthropic’s, regulatory scrutiny, and public-market multiples on high-growth AI platforms introduce material uncertainty. Recent revenue acceleration supports upside scenarios, while the absence of confirmed profitability milestones or final IPO terms sustains dispersion across the $1T–$2T range.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,228Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, alongside monthly revenue reaching a $40 billion annualized run rate by mid-August, anchors trader sentiment around a $1 trillion-plus IPO. Confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and banker involvement initially pointed to a potential late-2026 debut, yet June deliberations shifted focus toward 2027 to pursue higher pricing near or above $1 trillion amid ongoing unprofitability. Market-implied odds remain tightly clustered between $1.0T–$1.5T brackets because execution timing, competitive IPOs such as Anthropic’s, regulatory scrutiny, and public-market multiples on high-growth AI platforms introduce material uncertainty. Recent revenue acceleration supports upside scenarios, while the absence of confirmed profitability milestones or final IPO terms sustains dispersion across the $1T–$2T range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?
37%
La capitalisation boursière d’OpenAI sera-t-elle de 1,5 T$ ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de l’introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?
40%
Oui
L'introduction en bourse d'OpenAI se clôturera-t-elle avec une capitalisation boursière supérieure à 800 milliards de dollars ?
86%
Oui
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