OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion funding round established an $852 billion post-money valuation that continues to anchor trader sentiment for the end of August. With revenue running near $25 billion annualized and ongoing heavy losses from compute and infrastructure spending, secondary trading has shown only modest movement around that mark. Recent reporting indicates the company is leaning toward a 2027 IPO rather than a late-2026 debut, removing near-term pressure for a sharp revaluation. Absent new large-scale funding, major model releases, or regulatory shifts in the next few weeks, the private valuation is expected to remain in the $800–900 billion range, supporting the market’s strong consensus around that band while leaving limited room for rapid upside or downside moves before month-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$800-$900B 54%
$600-$700B 24%
$700-$800B 23%
$1.30T+ 23%
<$600B
20%
$600-$700B
24%
$700-$800B
23%
$800-$900B
61%
$900B-$1.00T
12%
$1.00-$1.10T
20%
$1.10-$1.20T
19%
$1.20-$1.30T
22%
$1.30T+
23%
$800-$900B 54%
$600-$700B 24%
$700-$800B 23%
$1.30T+ 23%
<$600B
20%
$600-$700B
24%
$700-$800B
23%
$800-$900B
61%
$900B-$1.00T
12%
$1.00-$1.10T
20%
$1.10-$1.20T
19%
$1.20-$1.30T
22%
$1.30T+
23%
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion funding round established an $852 billion post-money valuation that continues to anchor trader sentiment for the end of August. With revenue running near $25 billion annualized and ongoing heavy losses from compute and infrastructure spending, secondary trading has shown only modest movement around that mark. Recent reporting indicates the company is leaning toward a 2027 IPO rather than a late-2026 debut, removing near-term pressure for a sharp revaluation. Absent new large-scale funding, major model releases, or regulatory shifts in the next few weeks, the private valuation is expected to remain in the $800–900 billion range, supporting the market’s strong consensus around that band while leaving limited room for rapid upside or downside moves before month-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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