Traders see a tight race for the top LiveBench mathematics score by end-September 2026, with Anthropic holding the highest implied odds at 33.5% amid strong recent Claude 5 Opus and Fable 5 results that leverage high-effort thinking modes to reach 95%+ on math subsets. OpenAI follows at 24.5%, buoyed by GPT-5.5/5.6 variants demonstrating comparable gains through iterative scaling and specialized reasoning chains. Other labs including Mistral, Google, and Tencent trail as frontier models from the leading two continue to trade incremental benchmark edges through post-training refinements and test-time compute. Key swing factors include any new official releases or capability jumps before the September cutoff, as LiveBench’s monthly fresh questions reward models that sustain math leadership without contamination.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnthropic 35%
Microsoft 34%
ByteDance 32%
StepFun 30%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
Anthropic
35%
Microsoft
34%
ByteDance
32%
StepFun
30%
Mistral
24%
SpaceXAI
18%
Z.ai
17%
Nvidia
17%
Alibaba
9%
OpenAI
17%
Moonshot
6%
Baidu
5%
Amazon
5%
MiniMax
5%
Meta
5%
17%
DeepSeek
5%
Meituan
5%
Xiaomi
4%
Thinky
15%
Tencent
1%
Anthropic 35%
Microsoft 34%
ByteDance 32%
StepFun 30%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
Anthropic
$52 Vol.
35%
Microsoft
$72 Vol.
34%
ByteDance
$54 Vol.
32%
StepFun
$72 Vol.
30%
Mistral
$52 Vol.
24%
SpaceXAI
$52 Vol.
18%
Z.ai
$52 Vol.
17%
Nvidia
$52 Vol.
17%
Alibaba
$52 Vol.
9%
OpenAI
$63 Vol.
17%
Moonshot
$52 Vol.
6%
Baidu
$52 Vol.
5%
Amazon
$53 Vol.
5%
MiniMax
$53 Vol.
5%
Meta
$52 Vol.
5%
$52 Vol.
17%
DeepSeek
$52 Vol.
5%
Meituan
$52 Vol.
5%
Xiaomi
$44 Vol.
4%
Thinky
$72 Vol.
15%
Tencent
$76 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Traders see a tight race for the top LiveBench mathematics score by end-September 2026, with Anthropic holding the highest implied odds at 33.5% amid strong recent Claude 5 Opus and Fable 5 results that leverage high-effort thinking modes to reach 95%+ on math subsets. OpenAI follows at 24.5%, buoyed by GPT-5.5/5.6 variants demonstrating comparable gains through iterative scaling and specialized reasoning chains. Other labs including Mistral, Google, and Tencent trail as frontier models from the leading two continue to trade incremental benchmark edges through post-training refinements and test-time compute. Key swing factors include any new official releases or capability jumps before the September cutoff, as LiveBench’s monthly fresh questions reward models that sustain math leadership without contamination.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Marché ouvert : Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$1,189Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETSource de résolution
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Traders see a tight race for the top LiveBench mathematics score by end-September 2026, with Anthropic holding the highest implied odds at 33.5% amid strong recent Claude 5 Opus and Fable 5 results that leverage high-effort thinking modes to reach 95%+ on math subsets. OpenAI follows at 24.5%, buoyed by GPT-5.5/5.6 variants demonstrating comparable gains through iterative scaling and specialized reasoning chains. Other labs including Mistral, Google, and Tencent trail as frontier models from the leading two continue to trade incremental benchmark edges through post-training refinements and test-time compute. Key swing factors include any new official releases or capability jumps before the September cutoff, as LiveBench’s monthly fresh questions reward models that sustain math leadership without contamination.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$1,189Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETSource de résolution
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tight race for the top LiveBench mathematics score by end-September 2026, with Anthropic holding the highest implied odds at 33.5% amid strong recent Claude 5 Opus and Fable 5 results that leverage high-effort thinking modes to reach 95%+ on math subsets. OpenAI follows at 24.5%, buoyed by GPT-5.5/5.6 variants demonstrating comparable gains through iterative scaling and specialized reasoning chains. Other labs including Mistral, Google, and Tencent trail as frontier models from the leading two continue to trade incremental benchmark edges through post-training refinements and test-time compute. Key swing factors include any new official releases or capability jumps before the September cutoff, as LiveBench’s monthly fresh questions reward models that sustain math leadership without contamination.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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