President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's ruling coalition holds roughly 321 seats in Turkey's 600-seat parliament, short of the 360 needed to advance a new constitution to a referendum. Optimistic statements from AKP leaders and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş in June 2026 about possible adoption in 2026-2027 have kept the topic active following the 2025 appointment of a legal drafting team, yet no parliamentary votes or official referendum announcement have occurred. Securing additional support from opposition parties remains uncertain amid ongoing debates over term limits and institutional changes, leaving the process short of the threshold for a 2026 public vote. Traders therefore price a low likelihood of an announcement by year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour14% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 déc. 2026
14% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's ruling coalition holds roughly 321 seats in Turkey's 600-seat parliament, short of the 360 needed to advance a new constitution to a referendum. Optimistic statements from AKP leaders and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş in June 2026 about possible adoption in 2026-2027 have kept the topic active following the 2025 appointment of a legal drafting team, yet no parliamentary votes or official referendum announcement have occurred. Securing additional support from opposition parties remains uncertain amid ongoing debates over term limits and institutional changes, leaving the process short of the threshold for a 2026 public vote. Traders therefore price a low likelihood of an announcement by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$6,734Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's ruling coalition holds roughly 321 seats in Turkey's 600-seat parliament, short of the 360 needed to advance a new constitution to a referendum. Optimistic statements from AKP leaders and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş in June 2026 about possible adoption in 2026-2027 have kept the topic active following the 2025 appointment of a legal drafting team, yet no parliamentary votes or official referendum announcement have occurred. Securing additional support from opposition parties remains uncertain amid ongoing debates over term limits and institutional changes, leaving the process short of the threshold for a 2026 public vote. Traders therefore price a low likelihood of an announcement by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,734Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's ruling coalition holds roughly 321 seats in Turkey's 600-seat parliament, short of the 360 needed to advance a new constitution to a referendum. Optimistic statements from AKP leaders and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş in June 2026 about possible adoption in 2026-2027 have kept the topic active following the 2025 appointment of a legal drafting team, yet no parliamentary votes or official referendum announcement have occurred. Securing additional support from opposition parties remains uncertain amid ongoing debates over term limits and institutional changes, leaving the process short of the threshold for a 2026 public vote. Traders therefore price a low likelihood of an announcement by year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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