North Korea's missile testing pattern in 2026 has featured repeated short-range ballistic launches timed to upcoming or ongoing U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises, which Pyongyang consistently frames as provocative rehearsals. August saw at least three distinct test events, including salvos from Wonsan and Pyongyang areas, aligning with this established signaling approach amid broader tensions and North Korea's expanding weapons programs. With September likely to include similar drill cycles or diplomatic exchanges, traders assign the highest implied probability to one test event, though probabilities remain closely distributed because the exact number hinges on whether Pyongyang escalates responses, pauses for negotiations, or adjusts based on U.S. or South Korean posture shifts. Early September developments around military schedules or official statements could quickly consolidate or disperse these odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNombre d'essais de missiles nord-coréens en septembre 2026 ?
Nombre d'essais de missiles nord-coréens en septembre 2026 ?
1 31%
2 22%
<1 18%
3 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
<1
18%
1
31%
2
22%
3
16%
4+
13%
1 31%
2 22%
<1 18%
3 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
<1
$321 Vol.
18%
1
$91 Vol.
31%
2
$112 Vol.
22%
3
$91 Vol.
16%
4+
$422 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's missile testing pattern in 2026 has featured repeated short-range ballistic launches timed to upcoming or ongoing U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises, which Pyongyang consistently frames as provocative rehearsals. August saw at least three distinct test events, including salvos from Wonsan and Pyongyang areas, aligning with this established signaling approach amid broader tensions and North Korea's expanding weapons programs. With September likely to include similar drill cycles or diplomatic exchanges, traders assign the highest implied probability to one test event, though probabilities remain closely distributed because the exact number hinges on whether Pyongyang escalates responses, pauses for negotiations, or adjusts based on U.S. or South Korean posture shifts. Early September developments around military schedules or official statements could quickly consolidate or disperse these odds.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Volume
$1,037Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's missile testing pattern in 2026 has featured repeated short-range ballistic launches timed to upcoming or ongoing U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises, which Pyongyang consistently frames as provocative rehearsals. August saw at least three distinct test events, including salvos from Wonsan and Pyongyang areas, aligning with this established signaling approach amid broader tensions and North Korea's expanding weapons programs. With September likely to include similar drill cycles or diplomatic exchanges, traders assign the highest implied probability to one test event, though probabilities remain closely distributed because the exact number hinges on whether Pyongyang escalates responses, pauses for negotiations, or adjusts based on U.S. or South Korean posture shifts. Early September developments around military schedules or official statements could quickly consolidate or disperse these odds.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$1,037Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea's missile testing pattern in 2026 has featured repeated short-range ballistic launches timed to upcoming or ongoing U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises, which Pyongyang consistently frames as provocative rehearsals. August saw at least three distinct test events, including salvos from Wonsan and Pyongyang areas, aligning with this established signaling approach amid broader tensions and North Korea's expanding weapons programs. With September likely to include similar drill cycles or diplomatic exchanges, traders assign the highest implied probability to one test event, though probabilities remain closely distributed because the exact number hinges on whether Pyongyang escalates responses, pauses for negotiations, or adjusts based on U.S. or South Korean posture shifts. Early September developments around military schedules or official statements could quickly consolidate or disperse these odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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