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icon for Nombre d'essais de missiles nord-coréens en août 2026 ?

Nombre d'essais de missiles nord-coréens en août 2026 ?

icon for Nombre d'essais de missiles nord-coréens en août 2026 ?

Nombre d'essais de missiles nord-coréens en août 2026 ?

<4 57%

4 27.0%

5 10%

6+ 5.1%

Polymarket

$20,887 Vol.

<4 57%

4 27.0%

5 10%

6+ 5.1%

Polymarket

$20,887 Vol.

<4

$2,501 Vol.

57%

4

$632 Vol.

27%

5

$247 Vol.

10%

6+

$17,506 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea conducted three confirmed ballistic missile launch events in August 2026 through August 24: single short-range tests from Wonsan on August 6 and 12, followed by a barrage of roughly ten short-range missiles from the Pyongyang area on August 20. The most recent salvo occurred shortly after U.S. President Trump ordered scaled-back Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises and publicly referenced plans to meet Kim Jong Un. These actions align with Pyongyang’s pattern of using tests to signal resolve amid diplomatic overtures and ongoing U.S.-South Korea military coordination. With only days left in the month, the market’s emphasis on fewer than four total events reflects the low historical frequency of additional launches in late August and the absence of further reported activity since the 20th.

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.

If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.

Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.

Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.

Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$20,887
Date de fin
31 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea conducted three confirmed ballistic missile launch events in August 2026 through August 24: single short-range tests from Wonsan on August 6 and 12, followed by a barrage of roughly ten short-range missiles from the Pyongyang area on August 20. The most recent salvo occurred shortly after U.S. President Trump ordered scaled-back Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises and publicly referenced plans to meet Kim Jong Un. These actions align with Pyongyang’s pattern of using tests to signal resolve amid diplomatic overtures and ongoing U.S.-South Korea military coordination. With only days left in the month, the market’s emphasis on fewer than four total events reflects the low historical frequency of additional launches in late August and the absence of further reported activity since the 20th.

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.

If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.

Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.

Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.

Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$20,887
Date de fin
31 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

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Questions fréquentes

« Nombre d'essais de missiles nord-coréens en août 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <4 » à 57%, suivi de « 4 » à 27%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 57¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Nombre d'essais de missiles nord-coréens en août 2026 ? » a généré $20.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 21, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Nombre d'essais de missiles nord-coréens en août 2026 ? », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Nombre d'essais de missiles nord-coréens en août 2026 ? » est « <4 » à 57%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 4 » à 27%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Nombre d'essais de missiles nord-coréens en août 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.