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Élections·Élection Principale

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

icon for Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Élections·Élection Principale

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Željka Cvijanović 87%

Marinko Božović 5.9%

Siniša Karan 3.7%

Nebojša Vukanović 2.6%

Polymarket

$32,076 Vol.

Željka Cvijanović 87%

Marinko Božović 5.9%

Siniša Karan 3.7%

Nebojša Vukanović 2.6%

Polymarket

$32,076 Vol.

icon for Željka Cvijanović

Željka Cvijanović

$27,074 Vol.

87%

icon for Marinko Božović

Marinko Božović

$300 Vol.

6%

icon for Siniša Karan

Siniša Karan

$1,410 Vol.

4%

icon for Nebojša Vukanović

Nebojša Vukanović

$1,286 Vol.

3%

icon for Draško Stanivuković

Draško Stanivuković

$939 Vol.

2%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$1,068 Vol.

2%

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Željka Cvijanović holds an overwhelming lead in the market for the Serb seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency because the ruling SNSD coalition, led by Milorad Dodik, formally nominated her as its candidate for the October 4, 2026 general election and commands dominant support across Republika Srpska. Recent SNSD victories, including the narrow but confirmed win by party ally Siniša Karan in the 2025–26 RS presidential contest, underscore the coalition’s organizational edge and voter base in the entity that exclusively elects the Serb Presidency member. Fragmented opposition candidates from SDS, PDP, and smaller parties have shown limited ability to consolidate votes or overcome SNSD machinery in prior RS-wide contests, leaving little room for a competitive challenge before election day. Trader consensus therefore prices the outcome as a strong favorite for the incumbent backed by the entity’s primary governing force.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,076
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Željka Cvijanović holds an overwhelming lead in the market for the Serb seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency because the ruling SNSD coalition, led by Milorad Dodik, formally nominated her as its candidate for the October 4, 2026 general election and commands dominant support across Republika Srpska. Recent SNSD victories, including the narrow but confirmed win by party ally Siniša Karan in the 2025–26 RS presidential contest, underscore the coalition’s organizational edge and voter base in the entity that exclusively elects the Serb Presidency member. Fragmented opposition candidates from SDS, PDP, and smaller parties have shown limited ability to consolidate votes or overcome SNSD machinery in prior RS-wide contests, leaving little room for a competitive challenge before election day. Trader consensus therefore prices the outcome as a strong favorite for the incumbent backed by the entity’s primary governing force.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,076
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Connexes

icon for Bakir Izetbegović sera-t-il membre bosniaque de la présidence de la Bosnie-Herzégovine après les élections générales de 2026 ?

Bakir Izetbegović sera-t-il membre bosniaque de la présidence de la Bosnie-Herzégovine après les élections générales de 2026 ?

54%
Oui
icon for Darijana Filipović sera-t-elle la membre croate de la présidence de la Bosnie-Herzégovine à l'issue des élections générales de 2026 ?

Darijana Filipović sera-t-elle la membre croate de la présidence de la Bosnie-Herzégovine à l'issue des élections générales de 2026 ?

71%
Oui
icon for Vladan Đokić remportera-t-il la prochaine élection présidentielle en Serbie ?

Vladan Đokić remportera-t-il la prochaine élection présidentielle en Serbie ?

21%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Željka Cvijanović » à 87%, suivi de « Marinko Božović » à 6%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 87¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina? » a généré $32.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 12, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina? » est « Željka Cvijanović » à 87%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Marinko Božović » à 6%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.