Salihu Yakubu Danladi’s decisive victory in the May 2026 APC governorship primary, where he secured nearly 95,000 votes across all 16 local government areas, has anchored trader expectations for the 2027 Kwara election. The ruling party’s formal nomination process, subsequent presentation of INEC forms, and endorsement by state and national leadership have reinforced his position amid the state’s recent APC electoral record. Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu’s selection as PDP candidate and pockets of internal APC dissent, including recent defections by figures such as Senator Saliu Mustapha, have sustained secondary market interest in opposition and “other” outcomes. Ongoing reconciliation within APC structures and the absence of major legal or structural challenges continue to shape the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSalihu Danladi 69%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu 17%
Zakari Mohammed 11%
Ajibade Adekunle 1.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 févr. 2027
Salihu Danladi
69%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu
17%
Zakari Mohammed
11%
Ajibade Adekunle
2%
Salihu Danladi 69%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu 17%
Zakari Mohammed 11%
Ajibade Adekunle 1.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 févr. 2027
Salihu Danladi
$4,142 Vol.
69%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu
$929 Vol.
17%
Zakari Mohammed
$274 Vol.
11%
Ajibade Adekunle
$146 Vol.
2%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Salihu Yakubu Danladi’s decisive victory in the May 2026 APC governorship primary, where he secured nearly 95,000 votes across all 16 local government areas, has anchored trader expectations for the 2027 Kwara election. The ruling party’s formal nomination process, subsequent presentation of INEC forms, and endorsement by state and national leadership have reinforced his position amid the state’s recent APC electoral record. Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu’s selection as PDP candidate and pockets of internal APC dissent, including recent defections by figures such as Senator Saliu Mustapha, have sustained secondary market interest in opposition and “other” outcomes. Ongoing reconciliation within APC structures and the absence of major legal or structural challenges continue to shape the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Volume
$5,491Date de fin
6 févr. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Salihu Yakubu Danladi’s decisive victory in the May 2026 APC governorship primary, where he secured nearly 95,000 votes across all 16 local government areas, has anchored trader expectations for the 2027 Kwara election. The ruling party’s formal nomination process, subsequent presentation of INEC forms, and endorsement by state and national leadership have reinforced his position amid the state’s recent APC electoral record. Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu’s selection as PDP candidate and pockets of internal APC dissent, including recent defections by figures such as Senator Saliu Mustapha, have sustained secondary market interest in opposition and “other” outcomes. Ongoing reconciliation within APC structures and the absence of major legal or structural challenges continue to shape the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$5,491Date de fin
6 févr. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Salihu Yakubu Danladi’s decisive victory in the May 2026 APC governorship primary, where he secured nearly 95,000 votes across all 16 local government areas, has anchored trader expectations for the 2027 Kwara election. The ruling party’s formal nomination process, subsequent presentation of INEC forms, and endorsement by state and national leadership have reinforced his position amid the state’s recent APC electoral record. Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu’s selection as PDP candidate and pockets of internal APC dissent, including recent defections by figures such as Senator Saliu Mustapha, have sustained secondary market interest in opposition and “other” outcomes. Ongoing reconciliation within APC structures and the absence of major legal or structural challenges continue to shape the implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes