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Élections·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Maranhão

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Maranhão
Élections·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Maranhão

Eduardo Braide 59%

Orleans Brandão 35%

Felipe Camarão <1%

André Luís <1%

Polymarket

$58,920 Vol.

Eduardo Braide 59%

Orleans Brandão 35%

Felipe Camarão <1%

André Luís <1%

Polymarket

$58,920 Vol.

icon for Eduardo Braide

Eduardo Braide

$27,737 Vol.

59%

icon for Orleans Brandão

Orleans Brandão

$12,782 Vol.

35%

icon for Felipe Camarão

Felipe Camarão

$4,642 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Luís

André Luís

$5,426 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$4,092 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$4,240 Vol.

<1%

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD) holds the lead in trader pricing for the Maranhão governor race due to his record as São Luís mayor, where he won reelection with over 70% of the vote before resigning in March 2026 to run statewide. Multiple polls through mid-August show him ahead or competitive with Orleans Brandão (MDB), nephew of incumbent governor Carlos Brandão, amid the ongoing split between the Brandão group and the Flávio Dino-aligned faction. Braide's campaign emphasizes technical governance, tax reduction, and expanded education and health infrastructure, while building broad alliances. The first-round vote is set for October 4, with a possible runoff on October 25; recent surveys indicate Braide frequently reaches or exceeds 50% of valid votes in some scenarios, though polling has fluctuated and other candidates remain marginal.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$58,920
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD) holds the lead in trader pricing for the Maranhão governor race due to his record as São Luís mayor, where he won reelection with over 70% of the vote before resigning in March 2026 to run statewide. Multiple polls through mid-August show him ahead or competitive with Orleans Brandão (MDB), nephew of incumbent governor Carlos Brandão, amid the ongoing split between the Brandão group and the Flávio Dino-aligned faction. Braide's campaign emphasizes technical governance, tax reduction, and expanded education and health infrastructure, while building broad alliances. The first-round vote is set for October 4, with a possible runoff on October 25; recent surveys indicate Braide frequently reaches or exceeds 50% of valid votes in some scenarios, though polling has fluctuated and other candidates remain marginal.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$58,920
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

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Wellington Fagundes gagnera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur du Mato Grosso en 2026 ?

68%
Oui
icon for Raquel Lyra va-t-elle gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Pernambouc ?

Raquel Lyra va-t-elle gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Pernambouc ?

63%
Oui
icon for Lucas Ribeiro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de la Paraíba ?

Lucas Ribeiro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de la Paraíba ?

67%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Maranhão » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Eduardo Braide » à 59%, suivi de « Orleans Brandão » à 35%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 59¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 59% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Maranhão » a généré $58.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 12, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Maranhão », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Maranhão » est « Eduardo Braide » à 59%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 59% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Orleans Brandão » à 35%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Maranhão » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.