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Élections·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro
Élections·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro

Eduardo Paes 96.5%

Douglas Ruas 1.4%

Anthony Garotinho <1%

Rafa Luz <1%

Polymarket

$325,136 Vol.

Eduardo Paes 96.5%

Douglas Ruas 1.4%

Anthony Garotinho <1%

Rafa Luz <1%

Polymarket

$325,136 Vol.

icon for Eduardo Paes

Eduardo Paes

$47,825 Vol.

97%

icon for Douglas Ruas

Douglas Ruas

$13,030 Vol.

1%

icon for Anthony Garotinho

Anthony Garotinho

$15,333 Vol.

1%

icon for Rafa Luz

Rafa Luz

$6,672 Vol.

1%

icon for Lindbergh Farias

Lindbergh Farias

$10,049 Vol.

<1%

icon for Colonel Busnello

Colonel Busnello

$10,134 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wilson Witzel

Wilson Witzel

$12,807 Vol.

<1%

icon for Felipe Curi

Felipe Curi

$19,051 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chico Machado

Chico Machado

$9,843 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fred Pacheco

Fred Pacheco

$134,487 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Ceciliano

André Ceciliano

$12,315 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tarcísio Motta

Tarcísio Motta

$11,578 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dr Luizinho

Dr Luizinho

$10,219 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Pazuello

Eduardo Pazuello

$2,717 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicola Miccione

Nicola Miccione

$5,387 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Português

André Português

$3,688 Vol.

<1%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes maintains a commanding position in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to his high name recognition and sustained polling advantage as the outgoing mayor who resigned in March 2026 to seek the state executive under the PSD. With the first-round vote set for October 4, 2026, traders reflect broad consensus around his path to victory amid a fragmented field that includes Douglas Ruas of the PL and other lower-profile contenders. Recent surveys have shown Paes well ahead, consistent with historical patterns favoring established executives in Brazilian state contests. Factors that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, unexpected shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, or stronger-than-expected opposition coordination in the final weeks.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$325,136
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes maintains a commanding position in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to his high name recognition and sustained polling advantage as the outgoing mayor who resigned in March 2026 to seek the state executive under the PSD. With the first-round vote set for October 4, 2026, traders reflect broad consensus around his path to victory amid a fragmented field that includes Douglas Ruas of the PL and other lower-profile contenders. Recent surveys have shown Paes well ahead, consistent with historical patterns favoring established executives in Brazilian state contests. Factors that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, unexpected shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, or stronger-than-expected opposition coordination in the final weeks.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$325,136
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

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Allyson va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Rio Grande do Norte en 2026 ?

75%
Oui
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Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

61%
icon for Arthur Henrique va-t-il gagner l'élection au poste de gouverneur du Roraima en 2026 ?

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90%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 16 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Eduardo Paes » à 97%, suivi de « Douglas Ruas » à 1%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 97¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro » a généré $325.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 9, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro », parcourez les 16 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro » est « Eduardo Paes » à 97%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Douglas Ruas » à 1%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.