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icon for Prochain président bosniaque de Bosnie-Herzégovine ?
Élections·Bosnie-Herzégovine

Prochain président bosniaque de Bosnie-Herzégovine ?

icon for Prochain président bosniaque de Bosnie-Herzégovine ?
Élections·Bosnie-Herzégovine

Prochain président bosniaque de Bosnie-Herzégovine ?

Bakir Izetbegović 54%

Denis Bećirović 39%

Semir Efendić 2.5%

Polymarket

$42,643 Vol.

Bakir Izetbegović 54%

Denis Bećirović 39%

Semir Efendić 2.5%

Polymarket

$42,643 Vol.

icon for Bakir Izetbegović

Bakir Izetbegović

$13,847 Vol.

54%

icon for Denis Bećirović

Denis Bećirović

$22,556 Vol.

39%

icon for Semir Efendić

Semir Efendić

$6,240 Vol.

3%

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bakir Izetbegović holds the lead in trader consensus for the Bosniak seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency ahead of the 4 October 2026 general election, reflecting SDA organizational strength and the rematch dynamic against incumbent Denis Bećirović. Bećirović, backed by a 14-party alliance including the SDP, secured a decisive 2022 victory but faces a narrower path this cycle as candidate lists closed in July with limited new entrants. Semir Efendić’s independent run from the Party for Bosnia and Herzegovina adds a potential vote-splitter among Bosniak voters in the Federation. Recent party congresses and alliance confirmations have sharpened the contest between SDA’s established base and the broader coalition supporting the current chairman of the Presidency, while procedural disputes over ballot wording remain secondary to these alignments.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,643
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bakir Izetbegović holds the lead in trader consensus for the Bosniak seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency ahead of the 4 October 2026 general election, reflecting SDA organizational strength and the rematch dynamic against incumbent Denis Bećirović. Bećirović, backed by a 14-party alliance including the SDP, secured a decisive 2022 victory but faces a narrower path this cycle as candidate lists closed in July with limited new entrants. Semir Efendić’s independent run from the Party for Bosnia and Herzegovina adds a potential vote-splitter among Bosniak voters in the Federation. Recent party congresses and alliance confirmations have sharpened the contest between SDA’s established base and the broader coalition supporting the current chairman of the Presidency, while procedural disputes over ballot wording remain secondary to these alignments.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,643
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Connexes

icon for Darijana Filipović sera-t-elle la membre croate de la présidence de la Bosnie-Herzégovine à l'issue des élections générales de 2026 ?

Darijana Filipović sera-t-elle la membre croate de la présidence de la Bosnie-Herzégovine à l'issue des élections générales de 2026 ?

70%
Oui
icon for Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

87%
icon for Vladan Đokić remportera-t-il la prochaine élection présidentielle en Serbie ?

Vladan Đokić remportera-t-il la prochaine élection présidentielle en Serbie ?

21%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Prochain président bosniaque de Bosnie-Herzégovine ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Bakir Izetbegović » à 54%, suivi de « Denis Bećirović » à 39%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 54¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochain président bosniaque de Bosnie-Herzégovine ? » a généré $42.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 12, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochain président bosniaque de Bosnie-Herzégovine ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochain président bosniaque de Bosnie-Herzégovine ? » est « Bakir Izetbegović » à 54%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Denis Bećirović » à 39%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochain président bosniaque de Bosnie-Herzégovine ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.