Tokyo’s typical August nocturnal minimums average 24–25°C, shaped by the urban heat island effect, high humidity limiting radiative cooling, and seasonal subtropical high pressure. Long-range guidance for August 2 points to partly cloudy skies with possible showers that reduce overnight heat loss through enhanced cloud cover and evaporative cooling, anchoring the distribution around 25°C (45% market-implied odds) and 26°C (34.5%). Model consensus favors this narrow band over cooler or warmer extremes, as deviations would require stronger frontal passages or clearer, drier conditions not currently indicated. Traders monitor Japan Meteorological Agency updates and ensemble runs for any shifts in cloud or precipitation forecasts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 2 août ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 2 août ?
25°C 45%
26°C 35%
24°C 8%
27°C 5.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
20°C ou moins
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
45%
26°C
35%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 45%
26°C 35%
24°C 8%
27°C 5.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
20°C ou moins
$92 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$182 Vol.
1%
22°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$154 Vol.
1%
24°C
$192 Vol.
8%
25°C
$504 Vol.
45%
26°C
$579 Vol.
35%
27°C
$187 Vol.
5%
28°C
$137 Vol.
2%
29°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou plus
$142 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo’s typical August nocturnal minimums average 24–25°C, shaped by the urban heat island effect, high humidity limiting radiative cooling, and seasonal subtropical high pressure. Long-range guidance for August 2 points to partly cloudy skies with possible showers that reduce overnight heat loss through enhanced cloud cover and evaporative cooling, anchoring the distribution around 25°C (45% market-implied odds) and 26°C (34.5%). Model consensus favors this narrow band over cooler or warmer extremes, as deviations would require stronger frontal passages or clearer, drier conditions not currently indicated. Traders monitor Japan Meteorological Agency updates and ensemble runs for any shifts in cloud or precipitation forecasts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,442Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo’s typical August nocturnal minimums average 24–25°C, shaped by the urban heat island effect, high humidity limiting radiative cooling, and seasonal subtropical high pressure. Long-range guidance for August 2 points to partly cloudy skies with possible showers that reduce overnight heat loss through enhanced cloud cover and evaporative cooling, anchoring the distribution around 25°C (45% market-implied odds) and 26°C (34.5%). Model consensus favors this narrow band over cooler or warmer extremes, as deviations would require stronger frontal passages or clearer, drier conditions not currently indicated. Traders monitor Japan Meteorological Agency updates and ensemble runs for any shifts in cloud or precipitation forecasts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,442Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tokyo’s typical August nocturnal minimums average 24–25°C, shaped by the urban heat island effect, high humidity limiting radiative cooling, and seasonal subtropical high pressure. Long-range guidance for August 2 points to partly cloudy skies with possible showers that reduce overnight heat loss through enhanced cloud cover and evaporative cooling, anchoring the distribution around 25°C (45% market-implied odds) and 26°C (34.5%). Model consensus favors this narrow band over cooler or warmer extremes, as deviations would require stronger frontal passages or clearer, drier conditions not currently indicated. Traders monitor Japan Meteorological Agency updates and ensemble runs for any shifts in cloud or precipitation forecasts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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