Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 1, 2026, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and limited overnight radiative cooling typical for early August. This strong model consensus underpins the market-implied 99% probability for 26°C, as traders weigh historical climatology—where early-August lows average 22–25°C—against current atmospheric stability. Minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or localized urban heat effects could alter the recorded minimum, though official station data and verification protocols make large deviations unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 1er août ?
Température la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 1er août ?
26°C 99%
25°C 3%
27°C <1%
22°C ou moins <1%
NOUVEAU
$15,105 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,105 Vol.
1 août 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
99%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 99%
25°C 3%
27°C <1%
22°C ou moins <1%
NOUVEAU
$15,105 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,105 Vol.
1 août 2026
22°C ou moins
$279 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$363 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$614 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,027 Vol.
3%
26°C
$4,339 Vol.
99%
27°C
$4,786 Vol.
1%
28°C
$2,392 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$282 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$257 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 1, 2026, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and limited overnight radiative cooling typical for early August. This strong model consensus underpins the market-implied 99% probability for 26°C, as traders weigh historical climatology—where early-August lows average 22–25°C—against current atmospheric stability. Minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or localized urban heat effects could alter the recorded minimum, though official station data and verification protocols make large deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$15,105Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 1, 2026, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and limited overnight radiative cooling typical for early August. This strong model consensus underpins the market-implied 99% probability for 26°C, as traders weigh historical climatology—where early-August lows average 22–25°C—against current atmospheric stability. Minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or localized urban heat effects could alter the recorded minimum, though official station data and verification protocols make large deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,105Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 1, 2026, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and limited overnight radiative cooling typical for early August. This strong model consensus underpins the market-implied 99% probability for 26°C, as traders weigh historical climatology—where early-August lows average 22–25°C—against current atmospheric stability. Minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or localized urban heat effects could alter the recorded minimum, though official station data and verification protocols make large deviations unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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