Forecast models from the National Weather Service and GFS consensus point to an overnight low of 64–66°F in Central Park on September 6, driven by northeast winds of 5–10 mph and partial cloud cover that limits strong radiational cooling after daytime highs near 74–75°F. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5°F for the date. Trader positioning heavily favors the 64–67°F bins as the latest model runs show minimal deviation from these values, with little chance of colder air advection or clear, calm conditions that could push readings into the low 60s or below. Updated NWS briefings tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 6 septembre ?
66-67°F 49%
64-65°F 29%
68-69°F 19%
58-59°F 7.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
57°F ou moins
1%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
49%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
3%
72-73 °F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F ou plus
1%
66-67°F 49%
64-65°F 29%
68-69°F 19%
58-59°F 7.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
57°F ou moins
$20 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$50 Vol.
8%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
7%
62-63°F
$155 Vol.
5%
64-65°F
$117 Vol.
29%
66-67°F
$68 Vol.
49%
68-69°F
$31 Vol.
19%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
3%
72-73 °F
$0 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$20 Vol.
1%
76°F ou plus
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and GFS consensus point to an overnight low of 64–66°F in Central Park on September 6, driven by northeast winds of 5–10 mph and partial cloud cover that limits strong radiational cooling after daytime highs near 74–75°F. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5°F for the date. Trader positioning heavily favors the 64–67°F bins as the latest model runs show minimal deviation from these values, with little chance of colder air advection or clear, calm conditions that could push readings into the low 60s or below. Updated NWS briefings tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$481Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and GFS consensus point to an overnight low of 64–66°F in Central Park on September 6, driven by northeast winds of 5–10 mph and partial cloud cover that limits strong radiational cooling after daytime highs near 74–75°F. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5°F for the date. Trader positioning heavily favors the 64–67°F bins as the latest model runs show minimal deviation from these values, with little chance of colder air advection or clear, calm conditions that could push readings into the low 60s or below. Updated NWS briefings tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$481Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and GFS consensus point to an overnight low of 64–66°F in Central Park on September 6, driven by northeast winds of 5–10 mph and partial cloud cover that limits strong radiational cooling after daytime highs near 74–75°F. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5°F for the date. Trader positioning heavily favors the 64–67°F bins as the latest model runs show minimal deviation from these values, with little chance of colder air advection or clear, calm conditions that could push readings into the low 60s or below. Updated NWS briefings tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température la plus basse à New York sera-t-elle comprise entre 62 et 63°F le 7 septembre ?
25%
Oui
La température la plus basse à New York sera-t-elle comprise entre 70 et 71°F le 5 septembre ?
51%
Oui
La température la plus élevée à New York sera-t-elle comprise entre 76 et 77°F le 6 septembre ?
52%
Oui
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