Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau project a September 5 maximum of 33–34°C under sunny to partly cloudy conditions driven by persistent high-pressure ridging typical of late-summer “autumn tiger” patterns. Multiple model runs and real-time observations align on this range, with afternoon readings climbing toward but not clearly surpassing 34°C amid moderate humidity and light winds. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 34°C reflects this model agreement and the absence of early precipitation or thick cloud cover that would otherwise suppress the peak. A sudden increase in convective activity or earlier-than-expected frontal moisture could cap temperatures at 33°C or below, while sustained clear skies and stronger insolation remain the main realistic paths to 35°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 5 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 5 septembre ?
34°C 99.0%
36°C <1%
28°C ou moins <1%
29°C <1%
$34,673 Vol.
$34,673 Vol.
5 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
99%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou plus
<1%
34°C 99.0%
36°C <1%
28°C ou moins <1%
29°C <1%
$34,673 Vol.
$34,673 Vol.
5 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
$1,156 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,114 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$879 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,636 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,731 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,722 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,680 Vol.
99%
35°C
$5,194 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$3,289 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,404 Vol.
<1%
38°C ou plus
$4,868 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau project a September 5 maximum of 33–34°C under sunny to partly cloudy conditions driven by persistent high-pressure ridging typical of late-summer “autumn tiger” patterns. Multiple model runs and real-time observations align on this range, with afternoon readings climbing toward but not clearly surpassing 34°C amid moderate humidity and light winds. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 34°C reflects this model agreement and the absence of early precipitation or thick cloud cover that would otherwise suppress the peak. A sudden increase in convective activity or earlier-than-expected frontal moisture could cap temperatures at 33°C or below, while sustained clear skies and stronger insolation remain the main realistic paths to 35°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$34,673Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau project a September 5 maximum of 33–34°C under sunny to partly cloudy conditions driven by persistent high-pressure ridging typical of late-summer “autumn tiger” patterns. Multiple model runs and real-time observations align on this range, with afternoon readings climbing toward but not clearly surpassing 34°C amid moderate humidity and light winds. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 34°C reflects this model agreement and the absence of early precipitation or thick cloud cover that would otherwise suppress the peak. A sudden increase in convective activity or earlier-than-expected frontal moisture could cap temperatures at 33°C or below, while sustained clear skies and stronger insolation remain the main realistic paths to 35°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,673Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau project a September 5 maximum of 33–34°C under sunny to partly cloudy conditions driven by persistent high-pressure ridging typical of late-summer “autumn tiger” patterns. Multiple model runs and real-time observations align on this range, with afternoon readings climbing toward but not clearly surpassing 34°C amid moderate humidity and light winds. Trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 34°C reflects this model agreement and the absence of early precipitation or thick cloud cover that would otherwise suppress the peak. A sudden increase in convective activity or earlier-than-expected frontal moisture could cap temperatures at 33°C or below, while sustained clear skies and stronger insolation remain the main realistic paths to 35°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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