Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 11 most likely between 9–11°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds around 9–10°C. Persistent cloud cover overnight is limiting radiative cooling under light southerly to westerly flow, while surface pressure near 1020 hPa supports stable conditions without strong cold advection. Historical September averages place the typical low near 10.6°C, with recent model runs showing only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures due to variable low-level moisture and wind speeds under 5 mph. DWD guidance and hourly trends point to the lowest readings occurring just before dawn, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief dips toward 8°C or below in localized spots. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Munich le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Munich le 11 septembre ?
5°C ou moins 47%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
15°C ou plus 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
5°C ou moins
47%
6°C
3%
7°C
22%
8°C
21%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
9%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C ou plus
40%
5°C ou moins 47%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
15°C ou plus 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
5°C ou moins
$119 Vol.
47%
6°C
$373 Vol.
3%
7°C
$13 Vol.
22%
8°C
$0 Vol.
21%
9°C
$0 Vol.
21%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$571 Vol.
9%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 11 most likely between 9–11°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds around 9–10°C. Persistent cloud cover overnight is limiting radiative cooling under light southerly to westerly flow, while surface pressure near 1020 hPa supports stable conditions without strong cold advection. Historical September averages place the typical low near 10.6°C, with recent model runs showing only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures due to variable low-level moisture and wind speeds under 5 mph. DWD guidance and hourly trends point to the lowest readings occurring just before dawn, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief dips toward 8°C or below in localized spots. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,076Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 11 most likely between 9–11°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds around 9–10°C. Persistent cloud cover overnight is limiting radiative cooling under light southerly to westerly flow, while surface pressure near 1020 hPa supports stable conditions without strong cold advection. Historical September averages place the typical low near 10.6°C, with recent model runs showing only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures due to variable low-level moisture and wind speeds under 5 mph. DWD guidance and hourly trends point to the lowest readings occurring just before dawn, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief dips toward 8°C or below in localized spots. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,076Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 11 most likely between 9–11°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds around 9–10°C. Persistent cloud cover overnight is limiting radiative cooling under light southerly to westerly flow, while surface pressure near 1020 hPa supports stable conditions without strong cold advection. Historical September averages place the typical low near 10.6°C, with recent model runs showing only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures due to variable low-level moisture and wind speeds under 5 mph. DWD guidance and hourly trends point to the lowest readings occurring just before dawn, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief dips toward 8°C or below in localized spots. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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