**Consistent forecast models and real-time observations point to a minimum temperature of 9°C in Munich on September 10, 2026, underpinning the market's near-certainty.** Overnight conditions under stable high pressure and widespread cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, with early-morning readings and hourly data from multiple sources converging on a low of 9–10°C. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 10.8°C while remaining well above historical extremes below 1°C. Numerical weather prediction consensus, including GFS runs, shows minimal spread for this date, with winds remaining light and no frontal systems or clear-sky breakthroughs expected to alter the thermal profile. The only realistic challenges would involve a late revision in official station data or an unforecasted sharp drop in dew points, both improbable given the current atmospheric setup and proximity to resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Munich le 10 septembre ?
9°C 99.4%
6°C ou moins <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
6°C ou moins
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
99%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C ou plus
<1%
9°C 99.4%
6°C ou moins <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
6°C ou moins
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
99%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Consistent forecast models and real-time observations point to a minimum temperature of 9°C in Munich on September 10, 2026, underpinning the market's near-certainty.** Overnight conditions under stable high pressure and widespread cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, with early-morning readings and hourly data from multiple sources converging on a low of 9–10°C. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 10.8°C while remaining well above historical extremes below 1°C. Numerical weather prediction consensus, including GFS runs, shows minimal spread for this date, with winds remaining light and no frontal systems or clear-sky breakthroughs expected to alter the thermal profile. The only realistic challenges would involve a late revision in official station data or an unforecasted sharp drop in dew points, both improbable given the current atmospheric setup and proximity to resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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