Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Milan’s August 26 minimum will most likely fall between 21–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the current stable anticyclone. Trader pricing nevertheless assigns the highest implied probability (34.5 %) to 14 °C or below, reflecting residual uncertainty in short-range ensemble spreads—particularly the potential for stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if cloud cover clears more than expected or if a subtle northeasterly surge arrives earlier than consensus. Historical August minima average near 19 °C, so the market’s elevated weight on cooler bins also embeds the recent observed cooling trend (16–18 °C lows earlier in the week) while discounting the risk of renewed warming. Updated high-resolution runs and overnight observations will be the next key data points for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Milan le 26 août ?
La température la plus basse à Milan le 26 août ?
14°C or below 65%
18°C 50%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
14°C or below
65%
15°C
30%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
50%
19°C
28%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
30%
24°C or higher
2%
14°C or below 65%
18°C 50%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
65%
15°C
$0 Vol.
30%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
28%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
30%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Milan’s August 26 minimum will most likely fall between 21–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the current stable anticyclone. Trader pricing nevertheless assigns the highest implied probability (34.5 %) to 14 °C or below, reflecting residual uncertainty in short-range ensemble spreads—particularly the potential for stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if cloud cover clears more than expected or if a subtle northeasterly surge arrives earlier than consensus. Historical August minima average near 19 °C, so the market’s elevated weight on cooler bins also embeds the recent observed cooling trend (16–18 °C lows earlier in the week) while discounting the risk of renewed warming. Updated high-resolution runs and overnight observations will be the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Milan’s August 26 minimum will most likely fall between 21–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the current stable anticyclone. Trader pricing nevertheless assigns the highest implied probability (34.5 %) to 14 °C or below, reflecting residual uncertainty in short-range ensemble spreads—particularly the potential for stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if cloud cover clears more than expected or if a subtle northeasterly surge arrives earlier than consensus. Historical August minima average near 19 °C, so the market’s elevated weight on cooler bins also embeds the recent observed cooling trend (16–18 °C lows earlier in the week) while discounting the risk of renewed warming. Updated high-resolution runs and overnight observations will be the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Milan’s August 26 minimum will most likely fall between 21–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the current stable anticyclone. Trader pricing nevertheless assigns the highest implied probability (34.5 %) to 14 °C or below, reflecting residual uncertainty in short-range ensemble spreads—particularly the potential for stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if cloud cover clears more than expected or if a subtle northeasterly surge arrives earlier than consensus. Historical August minima average near 19 °C, so the market’s elevated weight on cooler bins also embeds the recent observed cooling trend (16–18 °C lows earlier in the week) while discounting the risk of renewed warming. Updated high-resolution runs and overnight observations will be the next key data points for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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