Trader consensus on an 80-81°F low for Miami on July 31 reflects persistent subtropical high pressure and typical late-July atmospheric conditions that limit nighttime radiational cooling. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather projected overnight lows in this narrow band amid high humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention, consistent with climatological normals near 78-80°F and the absence of any cold front or enhanced clear-sky cooling. Model runs showed minimal spread, supporting the near-certain market-implied probability. A realistic shift would require an unexpected weather regime change, such as stronger-than-forecast winds or atypical moisture profiles, though none appeared in the final observational data window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Miami le 31 juillet ?
La température la plus basse à Miami le 31 juillet ?
80-81 °F 98%
78-79 °F 2%
67°F ou moins <1%
68-69 °F <1%
$11,560 Vol.
$11,560 Vol.
31 juil. 2026
67°F ou moins
<1%
68-69 °F
<1%
21-22°C
<1%
72-73 °F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79 °F
2%
80-81 °F
98%
82-83 °F
<1%
84-85 °F
<1%
86°F ou plus
<1%
80-81 °F 98%
78-79 °F 2%
67°F ou moins <1%
68-69 °F <1%
$11,560 Vol.
$11,560 Vol.
31 juil. 2026
67°F ou moins
$328 Vol.
<1%
68-69 °F
$408 Vol.
<1%
21-22°C
$415 Vol.
<1%
72-73 °F
$1,155 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$592 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,215 Vol.
<1%
78-79 °F
$824 Vol.
2%
80-81 °F
$3,942 Vol.
98%
82-83 °F
$1,103 Vol.
<1%
84-85 °F
$244 Vol.
<1%
86°F ou plus
$333 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on an 80-81°F low for Miami on July 31 reflects persistent subtropical high pressure and typical late-July atmospheric conditions that limit nighttime radiational cooling. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather projected overnight lows in this narrow band amid high humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention, consistent with climatological normals near 78-80°F and the absence of any cold front or enhanced clear-sky cooling. Model runs showed minimal spread, supporting the near-certain market-implied probability. A realistic shift would require an unexpected weather regime change, such as stronger-than-forecast winds or atypical moisture profiles, though none appeared in the final observational data window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 29, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$11,560Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on an 80-81°F low for Miami on July 31 reflects persistent subtropical high pressure and typical late-July atmospheric conditions that limit nighttime radiational cooling. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather projected overnight lows in this narrow band amid high humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention, consistent with climatological normals near 78-80°F and the absence of any cold front or enhanced clear-sky cooling. Model runs showed minimal spread, supporting the near-certain market-implied probability. A realistic shift would require an unexpected weather regime change, such as stronger-than-forecast winds or atypical moisture profiles, though none appeared in the final observational data window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,560Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on an 80-81°F low for Miami on July 31 reflects persistent subtropical high pressure and typical late-July atmospheric conditions that limit nighttime radiational cooling. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather projected overnight lows in this narrow band amid high humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention, consistent with climatological normals near 78-80°F and the absence of any cold front or enhanced clear-sky cooling. Model runs showed minimal spread, supporting the near-certain market-implied probability. A realistic shift would require an unexpected weather regime change, such as stronger-than-forecast winds or atypical moisture profiles, though none appeared in the final observational data window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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