Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over the Arabian Sea represent the dominant driver behind the near-even split in market odds for Karachi’s August 26 minimum temperature. Persistent humidity and variable rainfall potential can suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting higher overnight readings near or above 31 °C, while breaks in cloudiness or enhanced sea-breeze advection may permit greater cooling toward the low 20s °C. Historical August minima cluster around 26–28 °C, making both tails low-probability outcomes that hinge on precise timing of any incoming system and model consensus on boundary-layer moisture. With resolution only two days away, updated Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and local observations will likely sharpen trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Karachi le 26 août ?
21°C ou moins 59%
31°C ou plus 59%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
21°C ou moins
59%
22°C
38%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
43%
31°C ou plus
59%
21°C ou moins 59%
31°C ou plus 59%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
21°C ou moins
59%
22°C
38%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
43%
31°C ou plus
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over the Arabian Sea represent the dominant driver behind the near-even split in market odds for Karachi’s August 26 minimum temperature. Persistent humidity and variable rainfall potential can suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting higher overnight readings near or above 31 °C, while breaks in cloudiness or enhanced sea-breeze advection may permit greater cooling toward the low 20s °C. Historical August minima cluster around 26–28 °C, making both tails low-probability outcomes that hinge on precise timing of any incoming system and model consensus on boundary-layer moisture. With resolution only two days away, updated Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and local observations will likely sharpen trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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