Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and ongoing thunderstorms from a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Hong Kong, positioning the lowest temperature on August 25 around 26-28°C according to model consensus. Southerly to southwesterly winds at 5-10 m/s and elevated dew points near 25°C further suppress drops below 25°C, consistent with recent observations showing overnight minima of 26-28°C amid scattered showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for late August but reflect active monsoon influences rather than typical clear-sky cooling. Updated forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate limited variability ahead of the 25th, supporting trader emphasis on the 27-28°C range while acknowledging potential for slight downward revision if heavier rain enhances cooling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 25 août ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 25 août ?
28°C 40%
27°C 30%
26°C 16%
29°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
16%
27°C
30%
28°C
40%
29°C
12%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 40%
27°C 30%
26°C 16%
29°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
23°C or below
$361 Vol.
1%
24°C
$450 Vol.
1%
25°C
$224 Vol.
6%
26°C
$237 Vol.
16%
27°C
$689 Vol.
30%
28°C
$462 Vol.
40%
29°C
$1,257 Vol.
12%
30°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$497 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$363 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$279 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and ongoing thunderstorms from a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Hong Kong, positioning the lowest temperature on August 25 around 26-28°C according to model consensus. Southerly to southwesterly winds at 5-10 m/s and elevated dew points near 25°C further suppress drops below 25°C, consistent with recent observations showing overnight minima of 26-28°C amid scattered showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for late August but reflect active monsoon influences rather than typical clear-sky cooling. Updated forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate limited variability ahead of the 25th, supporting trader emphasis on the 27-28°C range while acknowledging potential for slight downward revision if heavier rain enhances cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,941Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and ongoing thunderstorms from a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Hong Kong, positioning the lowest temperature on August 25 around 26-28°C according to model consensus. Southerly to southwesterly winds at 5-10 m/s and elevated dew points near 25°C further suppress drops below 25°C, consistent with recent observations showing overnight minima of 26-28°C amid scattered showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for late August but reflect active monsoon influences rather than typical clear-sky cooling. Updated forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate limited variability ahead of the 25th, supporting trader emphasis on the 27-28°C range while acknowledging potential for slight downward revision if heavier rain enhances cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,941Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and ongoing thunderstorms from a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Hong Kong, positioning the lowest temperature on August 25 around 26-28°C according to model consensus. Southerly to southwesterly winds at 5-10 m/s and elevated dew points near 25°C further suppress drops below 25°C, consistent with recent observations showing overnight minima of 26-28°C amid scattered showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for late August but reflect active monsoon influences rather than typical clear-sky cooling. Updated forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate limited variability ahead of the 25th, supporting trader emphasis on the 27-28°C range while acknowledging potential for slight downward revision if heavier rain enhances cooling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes