Persistent showers and thunderstorms driven by a trough of low pressure over the South China Sea are keeping overnight temperatures suppressed in Hong Kong on August 1, 2026, positioning 25°C as the clear market leader at 73% implied probability. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and nearby station data indicate minimums near 25°C under persistent cloud cover and moderate southeasterly flow, with evaporative cooling and reduced radiative warming limiting drops to the 24–25°C range despite the seasonal August climatological minimum near 27°C. Traders are weighting near-term mesoscale conditions and model consensus over broader ENSO-neutral warming trends, with resolution tied to the official daily minimum recorded at the HKO headquarters. Updated observations or any late-evening clearing could still shift probabilities toward 24°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 1er août ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 1er août ?
25°C 70%
24°C 28%
23°C 5%
22°C <1%
$20,934 Vol.
$20,934 Vol.
1 août 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
27%
25°C
73%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 70%
24°C 28%
23°C 5%
22°C <1%
$20,934 Vol.
$20,934 Vol.
1 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$1,760 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,502 Vol.
1%
23°C
$3,935 Vol.
5%
24°C
$2,634 Vol.
27%
25°C
$3,473 Vol.
73%
26°C
$4,096 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,047 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$553 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$326 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$385 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou plus
$221 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent showers and thunderstorms driven by a trough of low pressure over the South China Sea are keeping overnight temperatures suppressed in Hong Kong on August 1, 2026, positioning 25°C as the clear market leader at 73% implied probability. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and nearby station data indicate minimums near 25°C under persistent cloud cover and moderate southeasterly flow, with evaporative cooling and reduced radiative warming limiting drops to the 24–25°C range despite the seasonal August climatological minimum near 27°C. Traders are weighting near-term mesoscale conditions and model consensus over broader ENSO-neutral warming trends, with resolution tied to the official daily minimum recorded at the HKO headquarters. Updated observations or any late-evening clearing could still shift probabilities toward 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20,934Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent showers and thunderstorms driven by a trough of low pressure over the South China Sea are keeping overnight temperatures suppressed in Hong Kong on August 1, 2026, positioning 25°C as the clear market leader at 73% implied probability. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and nearby station data indicate minimums near 25°C under persistent cloud cover and moderate southeasterly flow, with evaporative cooling and reduced radiative warming limiting drops to the 24–25°C range despite the seasonal August climatological minimum near 27°C. Traders are weighting near-term mesoscale conditions and model consensus over broader ENSO-neutral warming trends, with resolution tied to the official daily minimum recorded at the HKO headquarters. Updated observations or any late-evening clearing could still shift probabilities toward 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,934Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent showers and thunderstorms driven by a trough of low pressure over the South China Sea are keeping overnight temperatures suppressed in Hong Kong on August 1, 2026, positioning 25°C as the clear market leader at 73% implied probability. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and nearby station data indicate minimums near 25°C under persistent cloud cover and moderate southeasterly flow, with evaporative cooling and reduced radiative warming limiting drops to the 24–25°C range despite the seasonal August climatological minimum near 27°C. Traders are weighting near-term mesoscale conditions and model consensus over broader ENSO-neutral warming trends, with resolution tied to the official daily minimum recorded at the HKO headquarters. Updated observations or any late-evening clearing could still shift probabilities toward 24°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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