Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 26 around 10–12°C, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and light southerly winds moderating maritime air from the Benguela Current. This setup follows the mid-August cold front and cut-off low that briefly dropped temperatures, but recent subsidence has allowed gradual warming without strong cold advection or berg wind events. The near-even split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to subtle shifts in onshore flow versus localized warming, while specific probabilities cluster around 10–12°C aligning with climatological winter baselines of 8–11°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine the exact overnight minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse au Cap le 26 août ?
La température la plus basse au Cap le 26 août ?
8°C ou moins 87%
18°C ou plus 59%
13°C 49%
14°C 45%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
8°C ou moins
87%
9°C
25%
10°C
29%
11°C
29%
12°C
25%
13°C
49%
14°C
45%
15°C
2%
16°C
39%
17°C
38%
18°C ou plus
59%
8°C ou moins 87%
18°C ou plus 59%
13°C 49%
14°C 45%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
8°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
87%
9°C
$0 Vol.
25%
10°C
$0 Vol.
29%
11°C
$0 Vol.
29%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
45%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
38%
18°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 26 around 10–12°C, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and light southerly winds moderating maritime air from the Benguela Current. This setup follows the mid-August cold front and cut-off low that briefly dropped temperatures, but recent subsidence has allowed gradual warming without strong cold advection or berg wind events. The near-even split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to subtle shifts in onshore flow versus localized warming, while specific probabilities cluster around 10–12°C aligning with climatological winter baselines of 8–11°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine the exact overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 26 around 10–12°C, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and light southerly winds moderating maritime air from the Benguela Current. This setup follows the mid-August cold front and cut-off low that briefly dropped temperatures, but recent subsidence has allowed gradual warming without strong cold advection or berg wind events. The near-even split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to subtle shifts in onshore flow versus localized warming, while specific probabilities cluster around 10–12°C aligning with climatological winter baselines of 8–11°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine the exact overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 26 around 10–12°C, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and light southerly winds moderating maritime air from the Benguela Current. This setup follows the mid-August cold front and cut-off low that briefly dropped temperatures, but recent subsidence has allowed gradual warming without strong cold advection or berg wind events. The near-even split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to subtle shifts in onshore flow versus localized warming, while specific probabilities cluster around 10–12°C aligning with climatological winter baselines of 8–11°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine the exact overnight minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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