Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 21, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent runs show only modest spread around 75–77 °F, yet trader positioning clusters near 72–75 °F, reflecting uncertainty from possible subtle shifts in dew-point advection or boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology places the date’s average low near 66 °F, underscoring how the current warm anomaly elevates the floor. With resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations, updated model output and any late-day frontal adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Austin le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Austin le 21 septembre ?
70-71°F 39%
76-77°F 39%
72-73°F 31%
74-75°F 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
67°F ou moins
9%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86°F ou plus
5%
70-71°F 39%
76-77°F 39%
72-73°F 31%
74-75°F 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
67°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
9%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
19%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
39%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
31%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
24%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
39%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
11%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
5%
86°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 21, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent runs show only modest spread around 75–77 °F, yet trader positioning clusters near 72–75 °F, reflecting uncertainty from possible subtle shifts in dew-point advection or boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology places the date’s average low near 66 °F, underscoring how the current warm anomaly elevates the floor. With resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations, updated model output and any late-day frontal adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 21, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent runs show only modest spread around 75–77 °F, yet trader positioning clusters near 72–75 °F, reflecting uncertainty from possible subtle shifts in dew-point advection or boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology places the date’s average low near 66 °F, underscoring how the current warm anomaly elevates the floor. With resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations, updated model output and any late-day frontal adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 21, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent runs show only modest spread around 75–77 °F, yet trader positioning clusters near 72–75 °F, reflecting uncertainty from possible subtle shifts in dew-point advection or boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology places the date’s average low near 66 °F, underscoring how the current warm anomaly elevates the floor. With resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations, updated model output and any late-day frontal adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes