**Traders assign a 99.3% implied probability to a 33°C high in Hong Kong on September 19, 2026, driven by official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations under a high-pressure anticyclone delivering clear, dry conditions.** The agency projected a city maximum near 32°C with New Territories sites 1–2°C warmer, consistent with afternoon readings climbing to 32.7–33°C at the headquarters station amid light easterly winds and low humidity. Historical September baselines and current model consensus support this narrow range, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant steering changes expected before sunset. A rapid shift to increased cloud cover or localized convection could cap the peak below 33°C, while stronger insolation or delayed sea breezes might push select urban or inland stations to 34°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the stable synoptic pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 19 septembre ?
33°C 99.1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
26°C ou moins <1%
$91,798 Vol.
$91,798 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
33°C 99.1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
26°C ou moins <1%
$91,798 Vol.
$91,798 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$309 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,358 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,348 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$11,908 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$18,982 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$15,800 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$28,896 Vol.
99%
34°C
$8,191 Vol.
1%
35°C
$718 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou plus
$163 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Traders assign a 99.3% implied probability to a 33°C high in Hong Kong on September 19, 2026, driven by official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations under a high-pressure anticyclone delivering clear, dry conditions.**
The agency projected a city maximum near 32°C with New Territories sites 1–2°C warmer, consistent with afternoon readings climbing to 32.7–33°C at the headquarters station amid light easterly winds and low humidity. Historical September baselines and current model consensus support this narrow range, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant steering changes expected before sunset. A rapid shift to increased cloud cover or localized convection could cap the peak below 33°C, while stronger insolation or delayed sea breezes might push select urban or inland stations to 34°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$91,798Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Traders assign a 99.3% implied probability to a 33°C high in Hong Kong on September 19, 2026, driven by official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations under a high-pressure anticyclone delivering clear, dry conditions.**
The agency projected a city maximum near 32°C with New Territories sites 1–2°C warmer, consistent with afternoon readings climbing to 32.7–33°C at the headquarters station amid light easterly winds and low humidity. Historical September baselines and current model consensus support this narrow range, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant steering changes expected before sunset. A rapid shift to increased cloud cover or localized convection could cap the peak below 33°C, while stronger insolation or delayed sea breezes might push select urban or inland stations to 34°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$91,798Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Traders assign a 99.3% implied probability to a 33°C high in Hong Kong on September 19, 2026, driven by official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations under a high-pressure anticyclone delivering clear, dry conditions.** The agency projected a city maximum near 32°C with New Territories sites 1–2°C warmer, consistent with afternoon readings climbing to 32.7–33°C at the headquarters station amid light easterly winds and low humidity. Historical September baselines and current model consensus support this narrow range, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant steering changes expected before sunset. A rapid shift to increased cloud cover or localized convection could cap the peak below 33°C, while stronger insolation or delayed sea breezes might push select urban or inland stations to 34°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the stable synoptic pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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