Current high-resolution forecasts from sources including GFS and regional models indicate a primary driver of strong diurnal heating under clear skies and light southerly to southeasterly winds on September 21, supporting afternoon maxima near 28–30 °C. Subsidence associated with high pressure favors minimal cloud cover and enhanced insolation, while the cool Benguela Current and potential sea-breeze timing introduce modest uncertainty in the precise peak. Historical September averages near 19–20 °C highlight the anomalous warmth, with trader-implied odds clustered at 28–30 °C reflecting consensus on these conditions while acknowledging possible model shifts from updated runs or subtle wind changes that could cap or exceed 31 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée au Cap le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée au Cap le 21 septembre ?
26°C 35%
29°C 27%
30°C 25%
28°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
15%
26°C
35%
27°C
16%
28°C
21%
29°C
27%
30°C
25%
31°C
14%
32°C ou plus
15%
26°C 35%
29°C 27%
30°C 25%
28°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$6 Vol.
7%
25°C
$0 Vol.
15%
26°C
$0 Vol.
35%
27°C
$0 Vol.
16%
28°C
$0 Vol.
21%
29°C
$0 Vol.
27%
30°C
$0 Vol.
25%
31°C
$0 Vol.
14%
32°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-resolution forecasts from sources including GFS and regional models indicate a primary driver of strong diurnal heating under clear skies and light southerly to southeasterly winds on September 21, supporting afternoon maxima near 28–30 °C. Subsidence associated with high pressure favors minimal cloud cover and enhanced insolation, while the cool Benguela Current and potential sea-breeze timing introduce modest uncertainty in the precise peak. Historical September averages near 19–20 °C highlight the anomalous warmth, with trader-implied odds clustered at 28–30 °C reflecting consensus on these conditions while acknowledging possible model shifts from updated runs or subtle wind changes that could cap or exceed 31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$6Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-resolution forecasts from sources including GFS and regional models indicate a primary driver of strong diurnal heating under clear skies and light southerly to southeasterly winds on September 21, supporting afternoon maxima near 28–30 °C. Subsidence associated with high pressure favors minimal cloud cover and enhanced insolation, while the cool Benguela Current and potential sea-breeze timing introduce modest uncertainty in the precise peak. Historical September averages near 19–20 °C highlight the anomalous warmth, with trader-implied odds clustered at 28–30 °C reflecting consensus on these conditions while acknowledging possible model shifts from updated runs or subtle wind changes that could cap or exceed 31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current high-resolution forecasts from sources including GFS and regional models indicate a primary driver of strong diurnal heating under clear skies and light southerly to southeasterly winds on September 21, supporting afternoon maxima near 28–30 °C. Subsidence associated with high pressure favors minimal cloud cover and enhanced insolation, while the cool Benguela Current and potential sea-breeze timing introduce modest uncertainty in the precise peak. Historical September averages near 19–20 °C highlight the anomalous warmth, with trader-implied odds clustered at 28–30 °C reflecting consensus on these conditions while acknowledging possible model shifts from updated runs or subtle wind changes that could cap or exceed 31 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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