Current forecasts for Moscow on September 21 point to a daytime high near 18–19°C amid southerly flow and increasing cloud cover with showers, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–20°C. Model consensus shows mild advection from warmer southern air masses tempered by a passing front and reduced insolation from overcast skies, while historical late-September averages near 15°C provide context for the elevated outlook. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing, rainfall intensity affecting surface heating, and spread in ensemble guidance from sources like GFS. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 21 septembre ?
20°C 39%
19°C 23%
17°C 22%
16°C 22%
13°C ou moins
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
25%
20°C
39%
21°C
19%
22°C
12%
23°C ou plus
4%
20°C 39%
19°C 23%
17°C 22%
16°C 22%
13°C ou moins
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
25%
20°C
39%
21°C
19%
22°C
12%
23°C ou plus
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Moscow on September 21 point to a daytime high near 18–19°C amid southerly flow and increasing cloud cover with showers, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–20°C. Model consensus shows mild advection from warmer southern air masses tempered by a passing front and reduced insolation from overcast skies, while historical late-September averages near 15°C provide context for the elevated outlook. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing, rainfall intensity affecting surface heating, and spread in ensemble guidance from sources like GFS. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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