Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles indicate Austin's overnight low on September 19 will likely settle in the mid-70s, driven by persistent southerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. With daytime highs near 97–99°F and minimal frontal influence, surface temperatures are expected to bottom out around 74–78°F rather than the seasonal average near 67°F. This range aligns with the market's tightly clustered probabilities across the 68–77°F bins, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus while acknowledging small uncertainties from local urban heat island effects or slight wind shifts that could nudge the exact minimum by a degree or two.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Austin le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Austin le 19 septembre ?
80-81°F 40%
72-73 °F 22%
68-69°F 22%
74-75°F 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
63°F ou moins
2%
64-65 °F
5%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
21%
72-73 °F
22%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
40%
82°F ou plus
<1%
80-81°F 40%
72-73 °F 22%
68-69°F 22%
74-75°F 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
63°F ou moins
$41 Vol.
2%
64-65 °F
$0 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
18%
68-69°F
$8 Vol.
22%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
21%
72-73 °F
$0 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
22%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
21%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
21%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
40%
82°F ou plus
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles indicate Austin's overnight low on September 19 will likely settle in the mid-70s, driven by persistent southerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. With daytime highs near 97–99°F and minimal frontal influence, surface temperatures are expected to bottom out around 74–78°F rather than the seasonal average near 67°F. This range aligns with the market's tightly clustered probabilities across the 68–77°F bins, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus while acknowledging small uncertainties from local urban heat island effects or slight wind shifts that could nudge the exact minimum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$95Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles indicate Austin's overnight low on September 19 will likely settle in the mid-70s, driven by persistent southerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. With daytime highs near 97–99°F and minimal frontal influence, surface temperatures are expected to bottom out around 74–78°F rather than the seasonal average near 67°F. This range aligns with the market's tightly clustered probabilities across the 68–77°F bins, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus while acknowledging small uncertainties from local urban heat island effects or slight wind shifts that could nudge the exact minimum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$95Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles indicate Austin's overnight low on September 19 will likely settle in the mid-70s, driven by persistent southerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. With daytime highs near 97–99°F and minimal frontal influence, surface temperatures are expected to bottom out around 74–78°F rather than the seasonal average near 67°F. This range aligns with the market's tightly clustered probabilities across the 68–77°F bins, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus while acknowledging small uncertainties from local urban heat island effects or slight wind shifts that could nudge the exact minimum by a degree or two.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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