Recent forecasts from multiple models, including consensus outputs aligned with ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate a maximum temperature near 15°C in Warsaw on September 21 amid widespread showers, strong westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This cooler air mass following Sunday's transition has suppressed temperatures below recent seasonal norms, positioning 15°C as the leading outcome with 52.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of projections around 14–16°C while noting residual model spread and potential for minor revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution. Updated high-resolution runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology briefings in the coming day could shift sentiment if conditions trend warmer or cooler than currently expected.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 21 septembre ?
15°C 58%
16°C 26%
14°C 17%
13°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
4%
11°C
5%
12°C
4%
13°C
16%
14°C
17%
15°C
53%
16°C
26%
17°C
10%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C ou plus
4%
15°C 58%
16°C 26%
14°C 17%
13°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
4%
11°C
$0 Vol.
5%
12°C
$0 Vol.
4%
13°C
$0 Vol.
16%
14°C
$0 Vol.
17%
15°C
$113 Vol.
53%
16°C
$151 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
10%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including consensus outputs aligned with ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate a maximum temperature near 15°C in Warsaw on September 21 amid widespread showers, strong westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This cooler air mass following Sunday's transition has suppressed temperatures below recent seasonal norms, positioning 15°C as the leading outcome with 52.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of projections around 14–16°C while noting residual model spread and potential for minor revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution. Updated high-resolution runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology briefings in the coming day could shift sentiment if conditions trend warmer or cooler than currently expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$264Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including consensus outputs aligned with ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate a maximum temperature near 15°C in Warsaw on September 21 amid widespread showers, strong westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This cooler air mass following Sunday's transition has suppressed temperatures below recent seasonal norms, positioning 15°C as the leading outcome with 52.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of projections around 14–16°C while noting residual model spread and potential for minor revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution. Updated high-resolution runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology briefings in the coming day could shift sentiment if conditions trend warmer or cooler than currently expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$264Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including consensus outputs aligned with ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate a maximum temperature near 15°C in Warsaw on September 21 amid widespread showers, strong westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This cooler air mass following Sunday's transition has suppressed temperatures below recent seasonal norms, positioning 15°C as the leading outcome with 52.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of projections around 14–16°C while noting residual model spread and potential for minor revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution. Updated high-resolution runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology briefings in the coming day could shift sentiment if conditions trend warmer or cooler than currently expected.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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