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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung
Politique·Taïwan

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung
Politique·Taïwan

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung

Lai Jui-lung 78%

Hsu Chih-chieh 11%

Ko Chih-en 5.6%

Lin Tai-hua 5%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Lai Jui-lung 78%

Hsu Chih-chieh 11%

Ko Chih-en 5.6%

Lin Tai-hua 5%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Lai Jui-lung

Lai Jui-lung

$455 Vol.

73%

icon for Hsu Chih-chieh

Hsu Chih-chieh

$41 Vol.

11%

icon for Ko Chih-en

Ko Chih-en

$41 Vol.

6%

icon for Lin Tai-hua

Lin Tai-hua

$53 Vol.

5%

icon for Chiu Yi-ying

Chiu Yi-ying

$41 Vol.

5%

icon for Chang Ching

Chang Ching

$52 Vol.

2%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung holds the strongest position in the Kaohsiung mayoral race after securing the Democratic Progressive Party nomination in January 2026 through a party primary that defeated fellow legislators Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. The Kuomintang selected legislator Ko Chih-en as its candidate, setting up a contest between the two major parties ahead of the November 28 vote. Recent surveys, including June and August 2026 polls, show Lai maintaining leads over Ko across demographic groups, reflecting the DPP's established local organizational strength and the absence of major recent disruptions. These factors underpin trader consensus around Lai as the frontrunner while leaving room for shifts from late-campaign developments or turnout patterns in this battleground city.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$682
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung holds the strongest position in the Kaohsiung mayoral race after securing the Democratic Progressive Party nomination in January 2026 through a party primary that defeated fellow legislators Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. The Kuomintang selected legislator Ko Chih-en as its candidate, setting up a contest between the two major parties ahead of the November 28 vote. Recent surveys, including June and August 2026 polls, show Lai maintaining leads over Ko across demographic groups, reflecting the DPP's established local organizational strength and the absence of major recent disruptions. These factors underpin trader consensus around Lai as the frontrunner while leaving room for shifts from late-campaign developments or turnout patterns in this battleground city.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$682
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Connexes

icon for Chiang Wan-an remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Taipei ?

Chiang Wan-an remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Taipei ?

91%
Oui
icon for Lee Shu-chuan gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de New Taipei ?

Lee Shu-chuan gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de New Taipei ?

78%
Oui
icon for Chang San-cheng va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taoyuan ?

Chang San-cheng va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taoyuan ?

89%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Lai Jui-lung » à 73%, suivi de « Hsu Chih-chieh » à 11%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 73¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 73% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung » est « Lai Jui-lung » à 73%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 73% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Hsu Chih-chieh » à 11%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Kaohsiung » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.