Incumbent Republican Brad Little secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 59 percent of the vote and enters the November general election against Democratic nominee Terri Pickens in a state with longstanding Republican dominance in gubernatorial contests. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with Idaho's voting patterns, where Republican candidates have consistently won by wide margins, supported by Little's incumbency advantage and limited polling showing double-digit leads. The state's electorate and structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the Republican outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a major undisclosed scandal, significant third-party vote splitting, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout, though such developments remain rare in this electoral environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
95%
Démocrate
2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$4,679 Vol.
95%
Démocrate
$3,571 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Brad Little secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 59 percent of the vote and enters the November general election against Democratic nominee Terri Pickens in a state with longstanding Republican dominance in gubernatorial contests. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with Idaho's voting patterns, where Republican candidates have consistently won by wide margins, supported by Little's incumbency advantage and limited polling showing double-digit leads. The state's electorate and structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the Republican outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a major undisclosed scandal, significant third-party vote splitting, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout, though such developments remain rare in this electoral environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$8,250Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Brad Little secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 59 percent of the vote and enters the November general election against Democratic nominee Terri Pickens in a state with longstanding Republican dominance in gubernatorial contests. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with Idaho's voting patterns, where Republican candidates have consistently won by wide margins, supported by Little's incumbency advantage and limited polling showing double-digit leads. The state's electorate and structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the Republican outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a major undisclosed scandal, significant third-party vote splitting, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout, though such developments remain rare in this electoral environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$8,250Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Little secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 59 percent of the vote and enters the November general election against Democratic nominee Terri Pickens in a state with longstanding Republican dominance in gubernatorial contests. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with Idaho's voting patterns, where Republican candidates have consistently won by wide margins, supported by Little's incumbency advantage and limited polling showing double-digit leads. The state's electorate and structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the Republican outcome. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a major undisclosed scandal, significant third-party vote splitting, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout, though such developments remain rare in this electoral environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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