Incumbent Democratic Sen. Ben Ray Luján secured his party's nomination with over 84 percent in the June 2026 primary and faces only a write-in Republican candidate for the general election. New Mexico has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2002, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in statewide voting patterns and turnout among key demographic groups. With the general election still months away, traders see limited pathways for a Republican upset absent major developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or late national political shift that alters voter behavior in this contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Nouveau-Mexique
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Nouveau-Mexique
$24,249 Vol.
$24,249 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
96%
Républicain
2%
$24,249 Vol.
$24,249 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$15,147 Vol.
96%
Républicain
$9,102 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Ben Ray Luján secured his party's nomination with over 84 percent in the June 2026 primary and faces only a write-in Republican candidate for the general election. New Mexico has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2002, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in statewide voting patterns and turnout among key demographic groups. With the general election still months away, traders see limited pathways for a Republican upset absent major developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or late national political shift that alters voter behavior in this contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$24,249Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Ben Ray Luján secured his party's nomination with over 84 percent in the June 2026 primary and faces only a write-in Republican candidate for the general election. New Mexico has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2002, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in statewide voting patterns and turnout among key demographic groups. With the general election still months away, traders see limited pathways for a Republican upset absent major developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or late national political shift that alters voter behavior in this contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$24,249Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Ben Ray Luján secured his party's nomination with over 84 percent in the June 2026 primary and faces only a write-in Republican candidate for the general election. New Mexico has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2002, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in statewide voting patterns and turnout among key demographic groups. With the general election still months away, traders see limited pathways for a Republican upset absent major developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or late national political shift that alters voter behavior in this contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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