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Politique·élection

Sénat de l'Alaska et gouverneur Combo

icon for Sénat de l'Alaska et gouverneur Combo
Politique·élection

Sénat de l'Alaska et gouverneur Combo

Victoire totale des démocrates 37%

Victoire totale des républicains 31%

Les Républicains remportent le poste de gouverneur, les Démocrates remportent le Sénat 20%

Les démocrates gagnent le poste de gouverneur, les républicains gagnent le Sénat 18%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Victoire totale des démocrates 37%

Victoire totale des républicains 31%

Les Républicains remportent le poste de gouverneur, les Démocrates remportent le Sénat 20%

Les démocrates gagnent le poste de gouverneur, les républicains gagnent le Sénat 18%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Victoire totale des démocrates

$75 Vol.

37%

Victoire totale des républicains

$0 Vol.

31%

Les Républicains remportent le poste de gouverneur, les Démocrates remportent le Sénat

$0 Vol.

20%

Les démocrates gagnent le poste de gouverneur, les républicains gagnent le Sénat

$20 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling shows the Alaska U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola as a toss-up, with narrow margins and Peltola holding slight edges in some surveys amid strong fundraising and labor support. The open gubernatorial contest, created by term limits on Republican Mike Dunleavy, features a crowded Republican primary field including Click Bishop and Dave Bronson alongside Democrat Tom Begich as the leading contender. Alaska's August 18 top-four primary under ranked-choice voting introduces additional uncertainty for both races, as vote distribution and advancement will shape general-election pairings. These dynamics sustain elevated probabilities for split outcomes and the broad "Other" category in trader pricing, reflecting fragmented fields and the potential for cross-party results in November.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$95
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling shows the Alaska U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola as a toss-up, with narrow margins and Peltola holding slight edges in some surveys amid strong fundraising and labor support. The open gubernatorial contest, created by term limits on Republican Mike Dunleavy, features a crowded Republican primary field including Click Bishop and Dave Bronson alongside Democrat Tom Begich as the leading contender. Alaska's August 18 top-four primary under ranked-choice voting introduces additional uncertainty for both races, as vote distribution and advancement will shape general-election pairings. These dynamics sustain elevated probabilities for split outcomes and the broad "Other" category in trader pricing, reflecting fragmented fields and the potential for cross-party results in November.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$95
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Connexes

icon for Les démocrates vont-ils remporter les élections au Sénat et au poste de gouverneur dans le Maine ?

Les démocrates vont-ils remporter les élections au Sénat et au poste de gouverneur dans le Maine ?

64%
Oui
icon for Les démocrates remporteront-ils les élections du Sénat et du gouverneur du Michigan ?

Les démocrates remporteront-ils les élections du Sénat et du gouverneur du Michigan ?

56%
Oui
icon for Les Républicains vont-ils remporter les élections au Sénat et au poste de gouverneur du Texas ?

Les Républicains vont-ils remporter les élections au Sénat et au poste de gouverneur du Texas ?

44%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Sénat de l'Alaska et gouverneur Combo » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Victoire totale des démocrates » à 37%, suivi de « Victoire totale des républicains » à 31%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 37¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Sénat de l'Alaska et gouverneur Combo » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 11, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Sénat de l'Alaska et gouverneur Combo », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Sénat de l'Alaska et gouverneur Combo » est « Victoire totale des démocrates » à 37%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Victoire totale des républicains » à 31%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Sénat de l'Alaska et gouverneur Combo » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.