The August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor produced a tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Rep. Francesca Hong, with partial results showing Crowley ahead by a few points and other candidates trailing. Gov. Tony Evers’ late endorsement of Crowley, combined with electability debates and Hong’s progressive platform, kept the race close despite earlier polling leads for Hong. Traders assign the highest probabilities to narrow victory margins under 5 percent for either candidate, reflecting uncertainty over final vote counts, turnout in key areas, and the impact of the four-candidate field. Official certification and any recounts will resolve the precise outcome within the coming days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHong 1–2 % 46.9%
Crowley 2–3 % 36%
Crowley 3–4 % 36%
Crowley 5–6 % 5.4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
Hong 6 %+
4%
Hong 5–6 %
4%
Hong 4–5 %
3%
Hong 3–4 %
5%
Hong 2–3 %
4%
Hong 1–2 %
47%
Hong <1 %
42%
Crowley <1%
46%
Crowley 1–2 %
35%
Crowley 2–3 %
36%
Crowley 3–4 %
36%
Crowley 4–5 %
25%
Crowley 5–6 %
5%
Crowley 6 %+
4%
Hong 1–2 % 46.9%
Crowley 2–3 % 36%
Crowley 3–4 % 36%
Crowley 5–6 % 5.4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
Hong 6 %+
$24 Vol.
4%
Hong 5–6 %
$100 Vol.
4%
Hong 4–5 %
$0 Vol.
3%
Hong 3–4 %
$0 Vol.
5%
Hong 2–3 %
$0 Vol.
4%
Hong 1–2 %
$0 Vol.
47%
Hong <1 %
$0 Vol.
42%
Crowley <1%
$0 Vol.
46%
Crowley 1–2 %
$0 Vol.
35%
Crowley 2–3 %
$0 Vol.
36%
Crowley 3–4 %
$0 Vol.
36%
Crowley 4–5 %
$0 Vol.
25%
Crowley 5–6 %
$0 Vol.
5%
Crowley 6 %+
$0 Vol.
4%
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor produced a tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Rep. Francesca Hong, with partial results showing Crowley ahead by a few points and other candidates trailing. Gov. Tony Evers’ late endorsement of Crowley, combined with electability debates and Hong’s progressive platform, kept the race close despite earlier polling leads for Hong. Traders assign the highest probabilities to narrow victory margins under 5 percent for either candidate, reflecting uncertainty over final vote counts, turnout in key areas, and the impact of the four-candidate field. Official certification and any recounts will resolve the precise outcome within the coming days.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volume
$124Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor produced a tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Rep. Francesca Hong, with partial results showing Crowley ahead by a few points and other candidates trailing. Gov. Tony Evers’ late endorsement of Crowley, combined with electability debates and Hong’s progressive platform, kept the race close despite earlier polling leads for Hong. Traders assign the highest probabilities to narrow victory margins under 5 percent for either candidate, reflecting uncertainty over final vote counts, turnout in key areas, and the impact of the four-candidate field. Official certification and any recounts will resolve the precise outcome within the coming days.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$124Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor produced a tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Rep. Francesca Hong, with partial results showing Crowley ahead by a few points and other candidates trailing. Gov. Tony Evers’ late endorsement of Crowley, combined with electability debates and Hong’s progressive platform, kept the race close despite earlier polling leads for Hong. Traders assign the highest probabilities to narrow victory margins under 5 percent for either candidate, reflecting uncertainty over final vote counts, turnout in key areas, and the impact of the four-candidate field. Official certification and any recounts will resolve the precise outcome within the coming days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Francesca Hong remportera-t-elle la primaire démocrate pour le poste de gouverneur du Wisconsin avec moins de 5 % d’avance ?
53%
Oui
Le candidat du Parti démocrate gagnera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur du Wisconsin en 2026 avec une avance de 0%-3% ?
15%
Oui
Will Mike Lindell win the Minnesota Republican Governor primary by 15–20%?
48%
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