Incumbent Ogden Driskill faces a strong challenge from House Speaker Chip Neiman in the August 18 Republican primary for Wyoming State Senate District 1, a contest that underscores divisions between GOP factions. Neiman, aligned with the Freedom Caucus, resigned his speakership to run and holds higher lifetime ratings from conservative groups on issues such as taxes, spending, and platform adherence, while Driskill, a former Senate president serving since 2010, draws support from more traditional party elements. With the vote days away across Campbell, Crook, and Weston counties, trader consensus shows Neiman as the narrow frontrunner at 54.5% implied probability versus Driskill's 23%, reflecting the race's competitiveness and limited polling or late endorsements that could still shift outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
Chip Neiman
54%
Ogden Driskill
27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
Chip Neiman
$440 Vol.
54%
Ogden Driskill
$84 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming District 1 seat in the Wyoming State Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ogden Driskill faces a strong challenge from House Speaker Chip Neiman in the August 18 Republican primary for Wyoming State Senate District 1, a contest that underscores divisions between GOP factions. Neiman, aligned with the Freedom Caucus, resigned his speakership to run and holds higher lifetime ratings from conservative groups on issues such as taxes, spending, and platform adherence, while Driskill, a former Senate president serving since 2010, draws support from more traditional party elements. With the vote days away across Campbell, Crook, and Weston counties, trader consensus shows Neiman as the narrow frontrunner at 54.5% implied probability versus Driskill's 23%, reflecting the race's competitiveness and limited polling or late endorsements that could still shift outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming District 1 seat in the Wyoming State Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 2:34 PM ET
Volume
$524Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 2:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming District 1 seat in the Wyoming State Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ogden Driskill faces a strong challenge from House Speaker Chip Neiman in the August 18 Republican primary for Wyoming State Senate District 1, a contest that underscores divisions between GOP factions. Neiman, aligned with the Freedom Caucus, resigned his speakership to run and holds higher lifetime ratings from conservative groups on issues such as taxes, spending, and platform adherence, while Driskill, a former Senate president serving since 2010, draws support from more traditional party elements. With the vote days away across Campbell, Crook, and Weston counties, trader consensus shows Neiman as the narrow frontrunner at 54.5% implied probability versus Driskill's 23%, reflecting the race's competitiveness and limited polling or late endorsements that could still shift outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming District 1 seat in the Wyoming State Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$524Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 2:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Ogden Driskill faces a strong challenge from House Speaker Chip Neiman in the August 18 Republican primary for Wyoming State Senate District 1, a contest that underscores divisions between GOP factions. Neiman, aligned with the Freedom Caucus, resigned his speakership to run and holds higher lifetime ratings from conservative groups on issues such as taxes, spending, and platform adherence, while Driskill, a former Senate president serving since 2010, draws support from more traditional party elements. With the vote days away across Campbell, Crook, and Weston counties, trader consensus shows Neiman as the narrow frontrunner at 54.5% implied probability versus Driskill's 23%, reflecting the race's competitiveness and limited polling or late endorsements that could still shift outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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