Recent polling from firms including Demoskop, Novus, and SCB places the Centre Party (Centerpartiet) vote share between 6.1% and 7.3% ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, keeping the 5-7% band as the clearest consensus range among traders. The party's positioning as a centrist, pro-EU liberal force focused on rural and business interests has produced stable but modest support, with no major surges or collapses in the past month. Its decision to remain outside both the Tidö government bloc and potential red-green coalitions has limited upside potential while providing a floor above the 4% threshold. Ongoing bloc competition between centre-left and centre-right alliances, combined with limited shifts in key voter groups, continues to anchor probabilities near current survey averages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour5-7 % 55%
7-9 % 25%
9 %+ 25%
<5 % 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
<5 %
18%
5-7 %
57%
7-9 %
25%
9 %+
25%
5-7 % 55%
7-9 % 25%
9 %+ 25%
<5 % 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
<5 %
$0 Vol.
18%
5-7 %
$109 Vol.
57%
7-9 %
$0 Vol.
25%
9 %+
$0 Vol.
25%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling from firms including Demoskop, Novus, and SCB places the Centre Party (Centerpartiet) vote share between 6.1% and 7.3% ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, keeping the 5-7% band as the clearest consensus range among traders. The party's positioning as a centrist, pro-EU liberal force focused on rural and business interests has produced stable but modest support, with no major surges or collapses in the past month. Its decision to remain outside both the Tidö government bloc and potential red-green coalitions has limited upside potential while providing a floor above the 4% threshold. Ongoing bloc competition between centre-left and centre-right alliances, combined with limited shifts in key voter groups, continues to anchor probabilities near current survey averages.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Volume
$109Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling from firms including Demoskop, Novus, and SCB places the Centre Party (Centerpartiet) vote share between 6.1% and 7.3% ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, keeping the 5-7% band as the clearest consensus range among traders. The party's positioning as a centrist, pro-EU liberal force focused on rural and business interests has produced stable but modest support, with no major surges or collapses in the past month. Its decision to remain outside both the Tidö government bloc and potential red-green coalitions has limited upside potential while providing a floor above the 4% threshold. Ongoing bloc competition between centre-left and centre-right alliances, combined with limited shifts in key voter groups, continues to anchor probabilities near current survey averages.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$109Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from firms including Demoskop, Novus, and SCB places the Centre Party (Centerpartiet) vote share between 6.1% and 7.3% ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election, keeping the 5-7% band as the clearest consensus range among traders. The party's positioning as a centrist, pro-EU liberal force focused on rural and business interests has produced stable but modest support, with no major surges or collapses in the past month. Its decision to remain outside both the Tidö government bloc and potential red-green coalitions has limited upside potential while providing a floor above the 4% threshold. Ongoing bloc competition between centre-left and centre-right alliances, combined with limited shifts in key voter groups, continues to anchor probabilities near current survey averages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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