Recent official forecasts from MetService-aligned sources and global models project a daily maximum near 13–14 °C for Wellington on 1 September, driven by a northwesterly flow under mostly sunny skies with light winds of 10–15 km/h. This aligns closely with the long-term September climatological average high of 13 °C at the site, following a warmer late-August period that included an 18 °C reading on 30 August. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with minimal risk of stronger southerly cooling or significant cloud cover that would suppress the maximum. Trader consensus reflected in the market therefore centers on 14 °C as the most probable outcome while assigning lower probability to cooler or warmer extremes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 1er septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 1er septembre ?
14°C 56%
15°C 18%
13°C 18%
12°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
18%
14°C
56%
15°C
18%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 56%
15°C 18%
13°C 18%
12°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
8°C or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$181 Vol.
1%
11°C
$510 Vol.
2%
12°C
$216 Vol.
5%
13°C
$1,100 Vol.
18%
14°C
$391 Vol.
56%
15°C
$283 Vol.
18%
16°C
$91 Vol.
1%
17°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$382 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService-aligned sources and global models project a daily maximum near 13–14 °C for Wellington on 1 September, driven by a northwesterly flow under mostly sunny skies with light winds of 10–15 km/h. This aligns closely with the long-term September climatological average high of 13 °C at the site, following a warmer late-August period that included an 18 °C reading on 30 August. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with minimal risk of stronger southerly cooling or significant cloud cover that would suppress the maximum. Trader consensus reflected in the market therefore centers on 14 °C as the most probable outcome while assigning lower probability to cooler or warmer extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,848Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService-aligned sources and global models project a daily maximum near 13–14 °C for Wellington on 1 September, driven by a northwesterly flow under mostly sunny skies with light winds of 10–15 km/h. This aligns closely with the long-term September climatological average high of 13 °C at the site, following a warmer late-August period that included an 18 °C reading on 30 August. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with minimal risk of stronger southerly cooling or significant cloud cover that would suppress the maximum. Trader consensus reflected in the market therefore centers on 14 °C as the most probable outcome while assigning lower probability to cooler or warmer extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,848Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService-aligned sources and global models project a daily maximum near 13–14 °C for Wellington on 1 September, driven by a northwesterly flow under mostly sunny skies with light winds of 10–15 km/h. This aligns closely with the long-term September climatological average high of 13 °C at the site, following a warmer late-August period that included an 18 °C reading on 30 August. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with minimal risk of stronger southerly cooling or significant cloud cover that would suppress the maximum. Trader consensus reflected in the market therefore centers on 14 °C as the most probable outcome while assigning lower probability to cooler or warmer extremes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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