Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a high of 16°C on August 31 under strong northwesterlies shifting westerly, with partly cloudy skies and a low shower risk, supporting the market's leading 16–17°C outcomes at 85.5% combined implied probability. These align with official guidance amid above-average late-winter conditions influenced by El Niño patterns, as recent days reached 17–18°C maxima. Model consensus from NIWA and international sources shows limited upward potential due to cooling southerlies by evening, while downside risks from showers or wind shifts remain low. Updated forecasts and any overnight model runs will refine resolution near the daily maximum threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 31 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 31 août ?
17°C 51%
16°C 35%
18°C 10.5%
15°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$30,382 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$30,382 Vol.
31 août 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
7%
16°C
35%
17°C
51%
18°C
10%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 51%
16°C 35%
18°C 10.5%
15°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$30,382 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$30,382 Vol.
31 août 2026
11°C or below
$187 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$293 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,678 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,622 Vol.
1%
15°C
$5,488 Vol.
7%
16°C
$8,264 Vol.
35%
17°C
$7,032 Vol.
51%
18°C
$3,918 Vol.
10%
19°C
$1,726 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$187 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a high of 16°C on August 31 under strong northwesterlies shifting westerly, with partly cloudy skies and a low shower risk, supporting the market's leading 16–17°C outcomes at 85.5% combined implied probability. These align with official guidance amid above-average late-winter conditions influenced by El Niño patterns, as recent days reached 17–18°C maxima. Model consensus from NIWA and international sources shows limited upward potential due to cooling southerlies by evening, while downside risks from showers or wind shifts remain low. Updated forecasts and any overnight model runs will refine resolution near the daily maximum threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$30,382Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a high of 16°C on August 31 under strong northwesterlies shifting westerly, with partly cloudy skies and a low shower risk, supporting the market's leading 16–17°C outcomes at 85.5% combined implied probability. These align with official guidance amid above-average late-winter conditions influenced by El Niño patterns, as recent days reached 17–18°C maxima. Model consensus from NIWA and international sources shows limited upward potential due to cooling southerlies by evening, while downside risks from showers or wind shifts remain low. Updated forecasts and any overnight model runs will refine resolution near the daily maximum threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,382Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate a high of 16°C on August 31 under strong northwesterlies shifting westerly, with partly cloudy skies and a low shower risk, supporting the market's leading 16–17°C outcomes at 85.5% combined implied probability. These align with official guidance amid above-average late-winter conditions influenced by El Niño patterns, as recent days reached 17–18°C maxima. Model consensus from NIWA and international sources shows limited upward potential due to cooling southerlies by evening, while downside risks from showers or wind shifts remain low. Updated forecasts and any overnight model runs will refine resolution near the daily maximum threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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